**Latest meteorological guidance points to a highest temperature in Tokyo on September 1 centered near 30–31 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southeast flow.** Model consensus from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles shows daytime maxima in this narrow band, consistent with early-September climatology (historical average high ~28–30 °C) as the subtropical high lingers but begins to weaken. Key differentiating factors include variable low-level moisture and cloud cover that modulate surface heating rates, plus minor differences in timing of peak insolation. With only 48 hours until resolution, small forecast adjustments in dew-point depression or wind shift could shift the observed maximum between adjacent degree bins, sustaining the tight market distribution around the 29–32 °C range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日东京气温最高？
9月1日东京气温最高？
30°C 32%
31°C 26%
29°C 17%
32°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
17%
30°C
32%
31°C
26%
32°C
12%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 32%
31°C 26%
29°C 17%
32°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
26°C or below
$158 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1 交易量
2%
28°C
$247 交易量
6%
29°C
$443 交易量
17%
30°C
$205 交易量
32%
31°C
$190 交易量
26%
32°C
$278 交易量
12%
33°C
$56 交易量
5%
34°C
$70 交易量
2%
35°C
$38 交易量
1%
36°C or higher
$117 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest meteorological guidance points to a highest temperature in Tokyo on September 1 centered near 30–31 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southeast flow.** Model consensus from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles shows daytime maxima in this narrow band, consistent with early-September climatology (historical average high ~28–30 °C) as the subtropical high lingers but begins to weaken. Key differentiating factors include variable low-level moisture and cloud cover that modulate surface heating rates, plus minor differences in timing of peak insolation. With only 48 hours until resolution, small forecast adjustments in dew-point depression or wind shift could shift the observed maximum between adjacent degree bins, sustaining the tight market distribution around the 29–32 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,803结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest meteorological guidance points to a highest temperature in Tokyo on September 1 centered near 30–31 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southeast flow.** Model consensus from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles shows daytime maxima in this narrow band, consistent with early-September climatology (historical average high ~28–30 °C) as the subtropical high lingers but begins to weaken. Key differentiating factors include variable low-level moisture and cloud cover that modulate surface heating rates, plus minor differences in timing of peak insolation. With only 48 hours until resolution, small forecast adjustments in dew-point depression or wind shift could shift the observed maximum between adjacent degree bins, sustaining the tight market distribution around the 29–32 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,803结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Latest meteorological guidance points to a highest temperature in Tokyo on September 1 centered near 30–31 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southeast flow.** Model consensus from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles shows daytime maxima in this narrow band, consistent with early-September climatology (historical average high ~28–30 °C) as the subtropical high lingers but begins to weaken. Key differentiating factors include variable low-level moisture and cloud cover that modulate surface heating rates, plus minor differences in timing of peak insolation. With only 48 hours until resolution, small forecast adjustments in dew-point depression or wind shift could shift the observed maximum between adjacent degree bins, sustaining the tight market distribution around the 29–32 °C range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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