Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate an overnight low near 24–25°C for Tokyo on September 1, driven by lingering warm, humid air masses under partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading around 24°C (43.5%) and 23°C (28.0%), as typical early-September climatology shows average lows of 22–23°C but current steering patterns and residual summer heat favor slightly elevated minima. Scattered showers or thunderstorms expected later in the period add minor uncertainty to the exact minimum, while no major frontal passage or typhoon influence is projected within the 48-hour window. Updated model runs and official JMA guidance over the next day will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日东京最低气温？
9月1日东京最低气温？
24°C 44%
23°C 29%
25°C 18%
21°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
5%
22°C
3%
23°C
29%
24°C
44%
25°C
18%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 44%
23°C 29%
25°C 18%
21°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
19°C or below
$193 交易量
<1%
20°C
$51 交易量
<1%
21°C
$226 交易量
5%
22°C
$331 交易量
3%
23°C
$290 交易量
29%
24°C
$233 交易量
44%
25°C
$276 交易量
18%
26°C
$106 交易量
4%
27°C
$83 交易量
1%
28°C
$228 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$124 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate an overnight low near 24–25°C for Tokyo on September 1, driven by lingering warm, humid air masses under partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading around 24°C (43.5%) and 23°C (28.0%), as typical early-September climatology shows average lows of 22–23°C but current steering patterns and residual summer heat favor slightly elevated minima. Scattered showers or thunderstorms expected later in the period add minor uncertainty to the exact minimum, while no major frontal passage or typhoon influence is projected within the 48-hour window. Updated model runs and official JMA guidance over the next day will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,142结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate an overnight low near 24–25°C for Tokyo on September 1, driven by lingering warm, humid air masses under partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading around 24°C (43.5%) and 23°C (28.0%), as typical early-September climatology shows average lows of 22–23°C but current steering patterns and residual summer heat favor slightly elevated minima. Scattered showers or thunderstorms expected later in the period add minor uncertainty to the exact minimum, while no major frontal passage or typhoon influence is projected within the 48-hour window. Updated model runs and official JMA guidance over the next day will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,142结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate an overnight low near 24–25°C for Tokyo on September 1, driven by lingering warm, humid air masses under partly to mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading around 24°C (43.5%) and 23°C (28.0%), as typical early-September climatology shows average lows of 22–23°C but current steering patterns and residual summer heat favor slightly elevated minima. Scattered showers or thunderstorms expected later in the period add minor uncertainty to the exact minimum, while no major frontal passage or typhoon influence is projected within the 48-hour window. Updated model runs and official JMA guidance over the next day will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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