**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum of 25°C in Ankara on August 30, 2026, as the dominant outcome driving the 54.5% market-implied probability.** A northerly flow of cooler air has suppressed temperatures across central Turkey since August 28, with Ankara recording highs near or below 24°C on the 29th amid increased cloud cover and winds of 5–9 m/s. Numerical guidance, including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced in public forecasts, shows this regime persisting into the 30th, limiting insolation and capping afternoon peaks at 24–26°C at the Esenboğa station. Light precipitation chances remain low, and the absence of strong southerly advection or clear-sky heating keeps 27°C+ probabilities minimal while supporting a narrow range around the 25°C threshold. Updated model output and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance on the morning of the 30th will provide the final observational anchor for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日安卡拉的最高温度？
8月30日安卡拉的最高温度？
25°C 55%
26°C 20%
24°C 19%
27°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
19%
25°C
55%
26°C
20%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 55%
26°C 20%
24°C 19%
27°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
21°C or below
$171 交易量
<1%
22°C
$362 交易量
1%
23°C
$379 交易量
3%
24°C
$1,266 交易量
19%
25°C
$2,831 交易量
55%
26°C
$1,350 交易量
20%
27°C
$742 交易量
3%
28°C
$229 交易量
<1%
29°C
$473 交易量
<1%
30°C
$225 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$215 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum of 25°C in Ankara on August 30, 2026, as the dominant outcome driving the 54.5% market-implied probability.** A northerly flow of cooler air has suppressed temperatures across central Turkey since August 28, with Ankara recording highs near or below 24°C on the 29th amid increased cloud cover and winds of 5–9 m/s. Numerical guidance, including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced in public forecasts, shows this regime persisting into the 30th, limiting insolation and capping afternoon peaks at 24–26°C at the Esenboğa station. Light precipitation chances remain low, and the absence of strong southerly advection or clear-sky heating keeps 27°C+ probabilities minimal while supporting a narrow range around the 25°C threshold. Updated model output and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance on the morning of the 30th will provide the final observational anchor for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$8,243结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum of 25°C in Ankara on August 30, 2026, as the dominant outcome driving the 54.5% market-implied probability.** A northerly flow of cooler air has suppressed temperatures across central Turkey since August 28, with Ankara recording highs near or below 24°C on the 29th amid increased cloud cover and winds of 5–9 m/s. Numerical guidance, including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced in public forecasts, shows this regime persisting into the 30th, limiting insolation and capping afternoon peaks at 24–26°C at the Esenboğa station. Light precipitation chances remain low, and the absence of strong southerly advection or clear-sky heating keeps 27°C+ probabilities minimal while supporting a narrow range around the 25°C threshold. Updated model output and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance on the morning of the 30th will provide the final observational anchor for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,243结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum of 25°C in Ankara on August 30, 2026, as the dominant outcome driving the 54.5% market-implied probability.** A northerly flow of cooler air has suppressed temperatures across central Turkey since August 28, with Ankara recording highs near or below 24°C on the 29th amid increased cloud cover and winds of 5–9 m/s. Numerical guidance, including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced in public forecasts, shows this regime persisting into the 30th, limiting insolation and capping afternoon peaks at 24–26°C at the Esenboğa station. Light precipitation chances remain low, and the absence of strong southerly advection or clear-sky heating keeps 27°C+ probabilities minimal while supporting a narrow range around the 25°C threshold. Updated model output and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance on the morning of the 30th will provide the final observational anchor for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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