Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Ankara's overnight minimum on August 30 will likely fall in the 12–14 °C range under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly flow, and high pressure that favors strong radiative cooling after sunset. Dew points near 11–12 °C and Ankara’s 890 m elevation support efficient heat loss once solar heating ends, with hourly guidance showing the coldest readings between 4–7 a.m. local time. Slight model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 12 °C, 13 °C, and 14 °C. The Turkish State Meteorological Service’s official 24-hour minimum will resolve the market once reported.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日安卡拉最低气温?
15°C 42%
12°C 40%
11°C 34%
14°C 34%
9°C or below
24%
10°C
4%
11°C
34%
12°C
40%
13°C
29%
14°C
34%
15°C
42%
16°C
2%
17°C
9%
18°C
31%
19°C or higher
2%
15°C 42%
12°C 40%
11°C 34%
14°C 34%
9°C or below
24%
10°C
4%
11°C
34%
12°C
40%
13°C
29%
14°C
34%
15°C
42%
16°C
2%
17°C
9%
18°C
31%
19°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Ankara's overnight minimum on August 30 will likely fall in the 12–14 °C range under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly flow, and high pressure that favors strong radiative cooling after sunset. Dew points near 11–12 °C and Ankara’s 890 m elevation support efficient heat loss once solar heating ends, with hourly guidance showing the coldest readings between 4–7 a.m. local time. Slight model spread in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing creates the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 12 °C, 13 °C, and 14 °C. The Turkish State Meteorological Service’s official 24-hour minimum will resolve the market once reported.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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