Forecast models for September 1 at Incheon International Airport show a narrow range of daytime maxima centered on 26–28°C, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around these outcomes due to model spread in cloud cover and precipitation timing. Persistent moisture and variable low-level winds from the Yellow Sea are expected to limit insolation through scattered convection and stratiform clouds, moderating peak temperatures below late-August norms while preventing full radiative cooling. Recent ensemble runs highlight sensitivity to frontal passage timing, with lighter winds and partial clearing potentially allowing brief 28°C spikes versus sustained overcast holding readings near 26°C. Historical early-September climatology supports this central tendency near 25–27°C under transitional monsoon conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日首尔(仁川)气温最高?
27°C 33%
28°C 28%
26°C 27%
25°C 8%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
27%
27°C
33%
28°C
28%
29°C
7%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 33%
28°C 28%
26°C 27%
25°C 8%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
27%
27°C
33%
28°C
28%
29°C
7%
30°C
7%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models for September 1 at Incheon International Airport show a narrow range of daytime maxima centered on 26–28°C, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around these outcomes due to model spread in cloud cover and precipitation timing. Persistent moisture and variable low-level winds from the Yellow Sea are expected to limit insolation through scattered convection and stratiform clouds, moderating peak temperatures below late-August norms while preventing full radiative cooling. Recent ensemble runs highlight sensitivity to frontal passage timing, with lighter winds and partial clearing potentially allowing brief 28°C spikes versus sustained overcast holding readings near 26°C. Historical early-September climatology supports this central tendency near 25–27°C under transitional monsoon conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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