The market's near-certain positioning at 14°C reflects the latest MetService forecast and early observational data for Wellington on September 1, showing a maximum temperature stabilizing at that exact threshold under typical early-spring conditions. Regional models indicate moderate westerly flows and stable atmospheric pressure that limit daytime heating, aligning with climatological norms for the capital where September highs average near 13–15°C. The tiny implied probabilities on 13°C or 15°C capture residual uncertainty from station-specific microclimates or final-hour readings. An unexpected warm advection or delayed sea breeze could still nudge the peak higher, while rapid cooling from incoming fronts might cap it lower, though current guidance assigns low odds to either outcome before the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日惠灵顿的最高温度？
9月1日惠灵顿的最高温度？
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$52,558 交易量
$52,558 交易量
2026-09-01
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$52,558 交易量
$52,558 交易量
2026-09-01
8°C or below
$267 交易量
No
9°C
$330 交易量
No
10°C
$371 交易量
No
11°C
$1,341 交易量
No
12°C
$5,188 交易量
No
13°C
$12,704 交易量
No
14°C
$11,536 交易量
Yes
15°C
$11,058 交易量
No
16°C
$4,766 交易量
No
17°C
$1,716 交易量
No
18°C or higher
$3,281 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain positioning at 14°C reflects the latest MetService forecast and early observational data for Wellington on September 1, showing a maximum temperature stabilizing at that exact threshold under typical early-spring conditions. Regional models indicate moderate westerly flows and stable atmospheric pressure that limit daytime heating, aligning with climatological norms for the capital where September highs average near 13–15°C. The tiny implied probabilities on 13°C or 15°C capture residual uncertainty from station-specific microclimates or final-hour readings. An unexpected warm advection or delayed sea breeze could still nudge the peak higher, while rapid cooling from incoming fronts might cap it lower, though current guidance assigns low odds to either outcome before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$52,558结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain positioning at 14°C reflects the latest MetService forecast and early observational data for Wellington on September 1, showing a maximum temperature stabilizing at that exact threshold under typical early-spring conditions. Regional models indicate moderate westerly flows and stable atmospheric pressure that limit daytime heating, aligning with climatological norms for the capital where September highs average near 13–15°C. The tiny implied probabilities on 13°C or 15°C capture residual uncertainty from station-specific microclimates or final-hour readings. An unexpected warm advection or delayed sea breeze could still nudge the peak higher, while rapid cooling from incoming fronts might cap it lower, though current guidance assigns low odds to either outcome before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$52,558结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The market's near-certain positioning at 14°C reflects the latest MetService forecast and early observational data for Wellington on September 1, showing a maximum temperature stabilizing at that exact threshold under typical early-spring conditions. Regional models indicate moderate westerly flows and stable atmospheric pressure that limit daytime heating, aligning with climatological norms for the capital where September highs average near 13–15°C. The tiny implied probabilities on 13°C or 15°C capture residual uncertainty from station-specific microclimates or final-hour readings. An unexpected warm advection or delayed sea breeze could still nudge the peak higher, while rapid cooling from incoming fronts might cap it lower, though current guidance assigns low odds to either outcome before the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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