Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and global models indicate a high near 26–28°C for Toronto on September 3 under mostly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, following muggy conditions and localized heavy rainfall earlier in the week. This positions 27°C and 28°C as closely matched leaders, with differentiation hinging on afternoon cloud breaks, precipitation timing, and steering winds that could allow brief warming or suppress peaks. Historical September averages near 24°C provide context, while the market-implied odds reflect trader weighting of ensemble model consensus and resolution criteria tied to official observations. Updated runs from Environment Canada and NOAA ahead of the date could shift probabilities if clearing or convection intensifies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日多伦多气温最高?
28°C 41%
27°C 36%
29°C 17%
26°C 8%
23°C或以下
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
36%
28°C
41%
29°C
17%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C或更高
2%
28°C 41%
27°C 36%
29°C 17%
26°C 8%
23°C或以下
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
36%
28°C
41%
29°C
17%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 1, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and global models indicate a high near 26–28°C for Toronto on September 3 under mostly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, following muggy conditions and localized heavy rainfall earlier in the week. This positions 27°C and 28°C as closely matched leaders, with differentiation hinging on afternoon cloud breaks, precipitation timing, and steering winds that could allow brief warming or suppress peaks. Historical September averages near 24°C provide context, while the market-implied odds reflect trader weighting of ensemble model consensus and resolution criteria tied to official observations. Updated runs from Environment Canada and NOAA ahead of the date could shift probabilities if clearing or convection intensifies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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