Official Environment Canada forecasts for Toronto indicate a Thursday night low of 17°C under cloudy periods and light northwest winds following Wednesday’s humid, stormy conditions. This consensus, supported by GFS and regional model runs, reflects typical early-September radiational cooling after a warm, moist air mass retreats, with dew points dropping into the mid-teens Celsius and limited cloud cover overnight. Historical averages place the September 3 minimum near 16°C, so current guidance aligns closely with climatology rather than extremes. Traders’ near-even split between sub-15°C and 25°C+ outcomes highlights model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed, with updated NHC and CMC runs due before resolution likely tightening the implied range around 17–19°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日多伦多最低气温?
15°C或以下 90%
25°C或更高 90%
24°C 49%
19°C 27%
15°C或以下
90%
16°C
9%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
25%
22°C
25%
23°C
25%
24°C
49%
25°C或更高
90%
15°C或以下 90%
25°C或更高 90%
24°C 49%
19°C 27%
15°C或以下
90%
16°C
9%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
25%
22°C
25%
23°C
25%
24°C
49%
25°C或更高
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 1, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official Environment Canada forecasts for Toronto indicate a Thursday night low of 17°C under cloudy periods and light northwest winds following Wednesday’s humid, stormy conditions. This consensus, supported by GFS and regional model runs, reflects typical early-September radiational cooling after a warm, moist air mass retreats, with dew points dropping into the mid-teens Celsius and limited cloud cover overnight. Historical averages place the September 3 minimum near 16°C, so current guidance aligns closely with climatology rather than extremes. Traders’ near-even split between sub-15°C and 25°C+ outcomes highlights model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed, with updated NHC and CMC runs due before resolution likely tightening the implied range around 17–19°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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