Persistent marine layer and onshore southwesterly flow are capping San Francisco temperatures for September 3, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models showing a daily maximum near 64–68 °F amid mostly cloudy skies and a 30–50 % chance of light rain or drizzle. This setup, driven by a weak mid-week disturbance, favors the market’s leading 68–69 °F and 70–71 °F bins by limiting afternoon solar heating and keeping dew points elevated. Historical September averages near 70 °F provide context, yet the current pattern’s cloud cover and timing of any partial clearing introduce narrow uncertainty that could shift the peak by 1–2 °F depending on the exact hour of maximum insolation. Updated NWS and high-resolution model runs tomorrow morning will refine the range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日旧金山气温最高？
9月3日旧金山气温最高？
70-71°F 39%
68-69°F 31%
72-73°F 15%
66-67°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
61°F或以下
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
31%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80华氏度或更高
<1%
70-71°F 39%
68-69°F 31%
72-73°F 15%
66-67°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
61°F或以下
$0 交易量
1%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$26 交易量
3%
66-67°F
$357 交易量
11%
68-69°F
$98 交易量
31%
70-71°F
$76 交易量
39%
72-73°F
$103 交易量
15%
74-75°F
$407 交易量
2%
76-77°F
$82 交易量
2%
78-79°F
$30 交易量
1%
80华氏度或更高
$5 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and onshore southwesterly flow are capping San Francisco temperatures for September 3, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models showing a daily maximum near 64–68 °F amid mostly cloudy skies and a 30–50 % chance of light rain or drizzle. This setup, driven by a weak mid-week disturbance, favors the market’s leading 68–69 °F and 70–71 °F bins by limiting afternoon solar heating and keeping dew points elevated. Historical September averages near 70 °F provide context, yet the current pattern’s cloud cover and timing of any partial clearing introduce narrow uncertainty that could shift the peak by 1–2 °F depending on the exact hour of maximum insolation. Updated NWS and high-resolution model runs tomorrow morning will refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,184结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and onshore southwesterly flow are capping San Francisco temperatures for September 3, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models showing a daily maximum near 64–68 °F amid mostly cloudy skies and a 30–50 % chance of light rain or drizzle. This setup, driven by a weak mid-week disturbance, favors the market’s leading 68–69 °F and 70–71 °F bins by limiting afternoon solar heating and keeping dew points elevated. Historical September averages near 70 °F provide context, yet the current pattern’s cloud cover and timing of any partial clearing introduce narrow uncertainty that could shift the peak by 1–2 °F depending on the exact hour of maximum insolation. Updated NWS and high-resolution model runs tomorrow morning will refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,184结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ETPersistent marine layer and onshore southwesterly flow are capping San Francisco temperatures for September 3, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models showing a daily maximum near 64–68 °F amid mostly cloudy skies and a 30–50 % chance of light rain or drizzle. This setup, driven by a weak mid-week disturbance, favors the market’s leading 68–69 °F and 70–71 °F bins by limiting afternoon solar heating and keeping dew points elevated. Historical September averages near 70 °F provide context, yet the current pattern’s cloud cover and timing of any partial clearing introduce narrow uncertainty that could shift the peak by 1–2 °F depending on the exact hour of maximum insolation. Updated NWS and high-resolution model runs tomorrow morning will refine the range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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