Recent forecasts from the Met Office and European models indicate a mild southwesterly flow bringing maximum temperatures of 20–23 °C across London on September 2, with peak readings most likely near 21 °C during the afternoon under increasing cloud and light rain risk. This aligns with early-September climatology, where daily highs average near 20–22 °C, and current model runs show limited diurnal warming due to persistent cloud cover rather than clear skies. Market-implied odds concentrate on 21 °C (41.5 %) and nearby values because ensemble guidance clusters tightly around this range, with only modest spread from minor timing differences in frontal passage. Updated model runs and any overnight observations will provide the final calibration before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日伦敦气温最高?
21°C 42%
22°C 26%
20°C 19%
19°C 5.7%
$27,975 交易量
$27,975 交易量
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
19%
21°C
42%
22°C
26%
23°C
6%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 42%
22°C 26%
20°C 19%
19°C 5.7%
$27,975 交易量
$27,975 交易量
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
19%
21°C
42%
22°C
26%
23°C
6%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Met Office and European models indicate a mild southwesterly flow bringing maximum temperatures of 20–23 °C across London on September 2, with peak readings most likely near 21 °C during the afternoon under increasing cloud and light rain risk. This aligns with early-September climatology, where daily highs average near 20–22 °C, and current model runs show limited diurnal warming due to persistent cloud cover rather than clear skies. Market-implied odds concentrate on 21 °C (41.5 %) and nearby values because ensemble guidance clusters tightly around this range, with only modest spread from minor timing differences in frontal passage. Updated model runs and any overnight observations will provide the final calibration before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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