Forecast consensus from multiple models positions a daily maximum near 32°C as the dominant outcome for Tel Aviv on September 1, reflecting typical early-autumn Mediterranean conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and moderating sea-breeze effects that cap daytime heating. Recent runs show highs of 30–33°C, closely tracking the long-term early-September average of about 30°C while ruling out stronger heat advection or cloud cover that could shift extremes. Trader-implied probabilities align with this narrow range, as official station measurements—likely from the Israel Meteorological Service—will resolve the market once final observations are confirmed. No major forecast revisions have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter the outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日特拉维夫的最高温度？
9月1日特拉维夫的最高温度？
32°C 83%
33°C 19%
34°C 1.4%
31°C <1%
最新
$20,954 交易量
最新
$20,954 交易量
2026-09-01
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
83%
33°C
19%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
32°C 83%
33°C 19%
34°C 1.4%
31°C <1%
最新
$20,954 交易量
最新
$20,954 交易量
2026-09-01
30°C or below
$891 交易量
<1%
31°C
$6,048 交易量
1%
32°C
$4,292 交易量
83%
33°C
$5,502 交易量
19%
34°C
$1,102 交易量
1%
35°C
$88 交易量
<1%
36°C
$760 交易量
<1%
37°C
$1,196 交易量
<1%
38°C
$395 交易量
<1%
39°C
$340 交易量
<1%
40°C or higher
$340 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models positions a daily maximum near 32°C as the dominant outcome for Tel Aviv on September 1, reflecting typical early-autumn Mediterranean conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and moderating sea-breeze effects that cap daytime heating. Recent runs show highs of 30–33°C, closely tracking the long-term early-September average of about 30°C while ruling out stronger heat advection or cloud cover that could shift extremes. Trader-implied probabilities align with this narrow range, as official station measurements—likely from the Israel Meteorological Service—will resolve the market once final observations are confirmed. No major forecast revisions have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$20,954结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models positions a daily maximum near 32°C as the dominant outcome for Tel Aviv on September 1, reflecting typical early-autumn Mediterranean conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and moderating sea-breeze effects that cap daytime heating. Recent runs show highs of 30–33°C, closely tracking the long-term early-September average of about 30°C while ruling out stronger heat advection or cloud cover that could shift extremes. Trader-implied probabilities align with this narrow range, as official station measurements—likely from the Israel Meteorological Service—will resolve the market once final observations are confirmed. No major forecast revisions have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,954结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast consensus from multiple models positions a daily maximum near 32°C as the dominant outcome for Tel Aviv on September 1, reflecting typical early-autumn Mediterranean conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and moderating sea-breeze effects that cap daytime heating. Recent runs show highs of 30–33°C, closely tracking the long-term early-September average of about 30°C while ruling out stronger heat advection or cloud cover that could shift extremes. Trader-implied probabilities align with this narrow range, as official station measurements—likely from the Israel Meteorological Service—will resolve the market once final observations are confirmed. No major forecast revisions have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter the outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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