Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a daily maximum near 31°C in Shanghai on September 1 under mostly cloudy conditions with easterly flow and scattered showers, positioning 30°C and 31°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes. High humidity and limited solar insolation from cloud cover are expected to cap peak heating, consistent with climatological norms for early September. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model consensus runs and recent observational trends in regional sea-surface temperatures, which favor moderate values over higher extremes. Resolution depends on the official station reading, with final model updates and any last-minute steering pattern shifts likely to influence positioning before the market closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日上海气温最高？
9月1日上海气温最高？
30°C 44%
31°C 30%
29°C 22%
32°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
22%
30°C
44%
31°C
30%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 44%
31°C 30%
29°C 22%
32°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
25°C or below
$409 交易量
<1%
26°C
$305 交易量
1%
27°C
$385 交易量
1%
28°C
$159 交易量
3%
29°C
$648 交易量
22%
30°C
$286 交易量
44%
31°C
$278 交易量
30%
32°C
$290 交易量
6%
33°C
$55 交易量
1%
34°C
$43 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$257 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a daily maximum near 31°C in Shanghai on September 1 under mostly cloudy conditions with easterly flow and scattered showers, positioning 30°C and 31°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes. High humidity and limited solar insolation from cloud cover are expected to cap peak heating, consistent with climatological norms for early September. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model consensus runs and recent observational trends in regional sea-surface temperatures, which favor moderate values over higher extremes. Resolution depends on the official station reading, with final model updates and any last-minute steering pattern shifts likely to influence positioning before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,253结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a daily maximum near 31°C in Shanghai on September 1 under mostly cloudy conditions with easterly flow and scattered showers, positioning 30°C and 31°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes. High humidity and limited solar insolation from cloud cover are expected to cap peak heating, consistent with climatological norms for early September. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model consensus runs and recent observational trends in regional sea-surface temperatures, which favor moderate values over higher extremes. Resolution depends on the official station reading, with final model updates and any last-minute steering pattern shifts likely to influence positioning before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,253结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a daily maximum near 31°C in Shanghai on September 1 under mostly cloudy conditions with easterly flow and scattered showers, positioning 30°C and 31°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes. High humidity and limited solar insolation from cloud cover are expected to cap peak heating, consistent with climatological norms for early September. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model consensus runs and recent observational trends in regional sea-surface temperatures, which favor moderate values over higher extremes. Resolution depends on the official station reading, with final model updates and any last-minute steering pattern shifts likely to influence positioning before the market closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题