Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models point to a September 1 minimum temperature in Shanghai clustering around 25–27°C, driven by lingering warm, humid air masses with overnight cloud cover and light easterly winds that limit radiational cooling. Historical September averages place overnight lows near 23–24°C, but current conditions and ensemble guidance favor slightly elevated values amid above-normal sea surface temperatures in the region. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in model outputs, with 26°C emerging as the consensus midpoint ahead of final observational data from local stations. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours could shift probabilities if stronger winds or clearer skies develop.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日上海最低气温？
9月1日上海最低气温？
26°C 48%
27°C 29%
28°C 27%
24°C 24%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
21°C or below
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
15%
24°C
24%
25°C
24%
26°C
48%
27°C
29%
28°C
27%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 48%
27°C 29%
28°C 27%
24°C 24%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
21°C or below
$0 交易量
2%
22°C
$0 交易量
1%
23°C
$0 交易量
15%
24°C
$0 交易量
24%
25°C
$0 交易量
24%
26°C
$83 交易量
48%
27°C
$0 交易量
29%
28°C
$0 交易量
27%
29°C
$0 交易量
1%
30°C
$0 交易量
1%
31°C or higher
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models point to a September 1 minimum temperature in Shanghai clustering around 25–27°C, driven by lingering warm, humid air masses with overnight cloud cover and light easterly winds that limit radiational cooling. Historical September averages place overnight lows near 23–24°C, but current conditions and ensemble guidance favor slightly elevated values amid above-normal sea surface temperatures in the region. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in model outputs, with 26°C emerging as the consensus midpoint ahead of final observational data from local stations. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours could shift probabilities if stronger winds or clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$83结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models point to a September 1 minimum temperature in Shanghai clustering around 25–27°C, driven by lingering warm, humid air masses with overnight cloud cover and light easterly winds that limit radiational cooling. Historical September averages place overnight lows near 23–24°C, but current conditions and ensemble guidance favor slightly elevated values amid above-normal sea surface temperatures in the region. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in model outputs, with 26°C emerging as the consensus midpoint ahead of final observational data from local stations. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours could shift probabilities if stronger winds or clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$83结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological models point to a September 1 minimum temperature in Shanghai clustering around 25–27°C, driven by lingering warm, humid air masses with overnight cloud cover and light easterly winds that limit radiational cooling. Historical September averages place overnight lows near 23–24°C, but current conditions and ensemble guidance favor slightly elevated values amid above-normal sea surface temperatures in the region. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in model outputs, with 26°C emerging as the consensus midpoint ahead of final observational data from local stations. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours could shift probabilities if stronger winds or clearer skies develop.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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