Current forecast models indicate afternoon highs of 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 2, driven by widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and an 70–85% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that limit solar heating. At 2,240 meters elevation, the subtropical highland climate typically produces September daily maxima near 23–24°C, with convective rainfall common during the wet season's tail end. Recent observations and model runs from multiple sources show temperatures peaking in the low-to-mid 20s under overcast skies, consistent with historical norms and suppressing any potential for 26°C or higher. Market-implied probabilities cluster around these values because traders weigh the latest ensemble guidance against the narrow historical range for early-September maxima.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日墨西哥城气温最高？
9月2日墨西哥城气温最高？
24°C 44%
25°C 24%
23°C 20%
22°C 7%
$7,027 交易量
$7,027 交易量
2026-09-02
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
20%
24°C
44%
25°C
24%
26°C or higher
4%
24°C 44%
25°C 24%
23°C 20%
22°C 7%
$7,027 交易量
$7,027 交易量
2026-09-02
16°C or below
$200 交易量
<1%
17°C
$200 交易量
<1%
18°C
$220 交易量
<1%
19°C
$320 交易量
1%
20°C
$198 交易量
<1%
21°C
$265 交易量
3%
22°C
$530 交易量
7%
23°C
$921 交易量
20%
24°C
$2,057 交易量
44%
25°C
$1,468 交易量
24%
26°C or higher
$649 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate afternoon highs of 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 2, driven by widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and an 70–85% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that limit solar heating. At 2,240 meters elevation, the subtropical highland climate typically produces September daily maxima near 23–24°C, with convective rainfall common during the wet season's tail end. Recent observations and model runs from multiple sources show temperatures peaking in the low-to-mid 20s under overcast skies, consistent with historical norms and suppressing any potential for 26°C or higher. Market-implied probabilities cluster around these values because traders weigh the latest ensemble guidance against the narrow historical range for early-September maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$7,027结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate afternoon highs of 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 2, driven by widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and an 70–85% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that limit solar heating. At 2,240 meters elevation, the subtropical highland climate typically produces September daily maxima near 23–24°C, with convective rainfall common during the wet season's tail end. Recent observations and model runs from multiple sources show temperatures peaking in the low-to-mid 20s under overcast skies, consistent with historical norms and suppressing any potential for 26°C or higher. Market-implied probabilities cluster around these values because traders weigh the latest ensemble guidance against the narrow historical range for early-September maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,027结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETCurrent forecast models indicate afternoon highs of 23–24°C in Mexico City on September 2, driven by widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and an 70–85% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that limit solar heating. At 2,240 meters elevation, the subtropical highland climate typically produces September daily maxima near 23–24°C, with convective rainfall common during the wet season's tail end. Recent observations and model runs from multiple sources show temperatures peaking in the low-to-mid 20s under overcast skies, consistent with historical norms and suppressing any potential for 26°C or higher. Market-implied probabilities cluster around these values because traders weigh the latest ensemble guidance against the narrow historical range for early-September maxima.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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