**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources project a high near 90–93°F for Denver on September 4 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover.** This places the outcome squarely in the 92–93°F bin that holds the highest market-implied probability (48.5%), followed by 90–91°F (24%) and 94–95°F (19.5%). Above-average warmth stems from persistent high pressure and downslope warming east of the Rockies, pushing readings several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 83.6°F. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, supporting trader consensus around the low-90s range while leaving modest probability for a brief spike into the mid-90s if mixing is stronger than expected. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded at Denver International Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日丹佛的最高温度?
92-93华氏度 49%
90-91°F 22%
94-95°F 21%
88-89°F 4%
79华氏度或以下
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
22%
92-93华氏度
49%
94-95°F
21%
96-97华氏度
2%
98华氏度或更高
2%
92-93华氏度 49%
90-91°F 22%
94-95°F 21%
88-89°F 4%
79华氏度或以下
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
22%
92-93华氏度
49%
94-95°F
21%
96-97华氏度
2%
98华氏度或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 2, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources project a high near 90–93°F for Denver on September 4 under mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover.** This places the outcome squarely in the 92–93°F bin that holds the highest market-implied probability (48.5%), followed by 90–91°F (24%) and 94–95°F (19.5%). Above-average warmth stems from persistent high pressure and downslope warming east of the Rockies, pushing readings several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 83.6°F. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, supporting trader consensus around the low-90s range while leaving modest probability for a brief spike into the mid-90s if mixing is stronger than expected. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded at Denver International Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题