Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models show Tokyo's September 2 high likely peaking near 31–32°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with southerly flow ahead of an approaching front. This aligns with early-September climatology while humidity and scattered afternoon showers limit further warming. The 31°C outcome leads market-implied odds at 49%, reflecting model consensus on maximum temperatures before cooler, wetter air arrives later in the week. Official JMA observations will determine resolution, with any last-minute forecast shifts from updated runs potentially influencing trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日东京气温最高？
9月2日东京气温最高？
31°C 50%
30°C 25%
32°C 12%
29°C 10%
最新
$10,991 交易量
最新
$10,991 交易量
2026-09-02
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
10%
30°C
25%
31°C
50%
32°C
12%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 50%
30°C 25%
32°C 12%
29°C 10%
最新
$10,991 交易量
最新
$10,991 交易量
2026-09-02
26°C or below
$2,204 交易量
<1%
27°C
$431 交易量
1%
28°C
$410 交易量
4%
29°C
$817 交易量
10%
30°C
$1,418 交易量
25%
31°C
$1,350 交易量
50%
32°C
$1,626 交易量
12%
33°C
$1,367 交易量
3%
34°C
$506 交易量
2%
35°C
$409 交易量
<1%
36°C or higher
$453 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models show Tokyo's September 2 high likely peaking near 31–32°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with southerly flow ahead of an approaching front. This aligns with early-September climatology while humidity and scattered afternoon showers limit further warming. The 31°C outcome leads market-implied odds at 49%, reflecting model consensus on maximum temperatures before cooler, wetter air arrives later in the week. Official JMA observations will determine resolution, with any last-minute forecast shifts from updated runs potentially influencing trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$10,991结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models show Tokyo's September 2 high likely peaking near 31–32°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with southerly flow ahead of an approaching front. This aligns with early-September climatology while humidity and scattered afternoon showers limit further warming. The 31°C outcome leads market-implied odds at 49%, reflecting model consensus on maximum temperatures before cooler, wetter air arrives later in the week. Official JMA observations will determine resolution, with any last-minute forecast shifts from updated runs potentially influencing trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,991结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models show Tokyo's September 2 high likely peaking near 31–32°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with southerly flow ahead of an approaching front. This aligns with early-September climatology while humidity and scattered afternoon showers limit further warming. The 31°C outcome leads market-implied odds at 49%, reflecting model consensus on maximum temperatures before cooler, wetter air arrives later in the week. Official JMA observations will determine resolution, with any last-minute forecast shifts from updated runs potentially influencing trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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