Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles show Shanghai under persistent cloud cover and widespread rain on September 2, limiting radiative cooling overnight and compressing the diurnal temperature range. This setup supports a daily minimum clustered around 24–26 °C, with recent runs indicating slightly higher overnight readings than earlier guidance due to elevated dew points near 24 °C and easterly flow. Trader consensus at 51 % for 26 °C and 36 % for 27 °C aligns with the latest model spread, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent stronger cold-air advection. Updated short-range guidance expected within the next 12 hours could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日上海最低气温？
9月2日上海最低气温？
26°C 59%
27°C 36%
25°C 7%
23°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
22°C or below
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
59%
27°C
36%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 59%
27°C 36%
25°C 7%
23°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
22°C or below
$30 交易量
1%
23°C
$61 交易量
3%
24°C
$48 交易量
3%
25°C
$251 交易量
7%
26°C
$247 交易量
59%
27°C
$422 交易量
36%
28°C
$117 交易量
3%
29°C
$231 交易量
<1%
30°C
$312 交易量
1%
31°C
$176 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$346 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles show Shanghai under persistent cloud cover and widespread rain on September 2, limiting radiative cooling overnight and compressing the diurnal temperature range. This setup supports a daily minimum clustered around 24–26 °C, with recent runs indicating slightly higher overnight readings than earlier guidance due to elevated dew points near 24 °C and easterly flow. Trader consensus at 51 % for 26 °C and 36 % for 27 °C aligns with the latest model spread, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent stronger cold-air advection. Updated short-range guidance expected within the next 12 hours could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,241结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles show Shanghai under persistent cloud cover and widespread rain on September 2, limiting radiative cooling overnight and compressing the diurnal temperature range. This setup supports a daily minimum clustered around 24–26 °C, with recent runs indicating slightly higher overnight readings than earlier guidance due to elevated dew points near 24 °C and easterly flow. Trader consensus at 51 % for 26 °C and 36 % for 27 °C aligns with the latest model spread, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent stronger cold-air advection. Updated short-range guidance expected within the next 12 hours could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,241结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles show Shanghai under persistent cloud cover and widespread rain on September 2, limiting radiative cooling overnight and compressing the diurnal temperature range. This setup supports a daily minimum clustered around 24–26 °C, with recent runs indicating slightly higher overnight readings than earlier guidance due to elevated dew points near 24 °C and easterly flow. Trader consensus at 51 % for 26 °C and 36 % for 27 °C aligns with the latest model spread, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent stronger cold-air advection. Updated short-range guidance expected within the next 12 hours could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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