Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a minimum temperature of 71–73°F in New York City on September 3, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 70–73°F. Persistent cloud cover, elevated dew points near 70°F, and light southwest flow associated with a slow-moving frontal system are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows several degrees above the early-September climatological average of 65°F. Scattered showers and high humidity further suppress temperature drops. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of latest runs showing only modest cooling before dawn, while acknowledging that any unexpected clearing could allow readings to dip toward the 68–69°F bin. Updated NWS forecasts and model consensus updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variables.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日纽约市最低温度？
9月3日纽约市最低温度？
63°F或更低 37%
70-71°F 31%
82°F或更高 30%
72-73°F 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
63°F或更低
37%
64-65°F
10%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
23%
70-71°F
31%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
2%
82°F或更高
30%
63°F或更低 37%
70-71°F 31%
82°F或更高 30%
72-73°F 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
63°F或更低
$10 交易量
37%
64-65°F
$20 交易量
10%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
15%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
23%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
31%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
27%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
19%
76-77°F
$10 交易量
8%
78-79°F
$10 交易量
2%
80-81°F
$10 交易量
2%
82°F或更高
$10 交易量
30%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a minimum temperature of 71–73°F in New York City on September 3, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 70–73°F. Persistent cloud cover, elevated dew points near 70°F, and light southwest flow associated with a slow-moving frontal system are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows several degrees above the early-September climatological average of 65°F. Scattered showers and high humidity further suppress temperature drops. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of latest runs showing only modest cooling before dawn, while acknowledging that any unexpected clearing could allow readings to dip toward the 68–69°F bin. Updated NWS forecasts and model consensus updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$70结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a minimum temperature of 71–73°F in New York City on September 3, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 70–73°F. Persistent cloud cover, elevated dew points near 70°F, and light southwest flow associated with a slow-moving frontal system are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows several degrees above the early-September climatological average of 65°F. Scattered showers and high humidity further suppress temperature drops. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of latest runs showing only modest cooling before dawn, while acknowledging that any unexpected clearing could allow readings to dip toward the 68–69°F bin. Updated NWS forecasts and model consensus updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$70结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a minimum temperature of 71–73°F in New York City on September 3, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 70–73°F. Persistent cloud cover, elevated dew points near 70°F, and light southwest flow associated with a slow-moving frontal system are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows several degrees above the early-September climatological average of 65°F. Scattered showers and high humidity further suppress temperature drops. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of latest runs showing only modest cooling before dawn, while acknowledging that any unexpected clearing could allow readings to dip toward the 68–69°F bin. Updated NWS forecasts and model consensus updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variables.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题