Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model consensus around 30–32°C highs for Karachi on September 4, underpin the market's concentration on those outcomes amid stable late-monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover, light drizzle observed in recent days, and moderate westerly winds are limiting daytime heating and solar insolation along the coastal plain, consistent with historical September averages near 31°C. These factors position 31°C as the leading implied probability while keeping 30°C and 32°C viable depending on exact cloud timing and wind strength. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine any shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日卡拉奇的最高温度?
31°C 47%
32°C 29%
30°C 17%
33°C 9%
26°C或以下
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
17%
31°C
47%
32°C
29%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C或更高
3%
31°C 47%
32°C 29%
30°C 17%
33°C 9%
26°C或以下
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
17%
31°C
47%
32°C
29%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C或更高
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including model consensus around 30–32°C highs for Karachi on September 4, underpin the market's concentration on those outcomes amid stable late-monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover, light drizzle observed in recent days, and moderate westerly winds are limiting daytime heating and solar insolation along the coastal plain, consistent with historical September averages near 31°C. These factors position 31°C as the leading implied probability while keeping 30°C and 32°C viable depending on exact cloud timing and wind strength. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine any shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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