**Current model consensus from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature near 26–27°C in Karachi on September 4, with limited overnight radiative cooling expected under partly to mostly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds.** High humidity near 80% and dew points around 23–24°C will further suppress temperature drops, while any light coastal drizzle linked to residual monsoon moisture could add marginal warming. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–27°C versus higher outcomes, with lower probabilities for 21°C or below reflecting historical rarity and the absence of strong clear-sky cooling or northerly advection. Updated PMD guidance and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs over the next 24 hours will refine the precise overnight minimum ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日卡拉奇的最低温度？
9月4日卡拉奇的最低温度？
31°C或更高 85%
21°C或以下 67%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
21°C或以下
67%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
27%
26°C
28%
27°C
43%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
49%
31°C或更高
85%
31°C或更高 85%
21°C或以下 67%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
67%
22°C
$0 交易量
49%
23°C
$0 交易量
49%
24°C
$0 交易量
49%
25°C
$0 交易量
27%
26°C
$0 交易量
28%
27°C
$152 交易量
43%
28°C
$0 交易量
49%
29°C
$0 交易量
49%
30°C
$0 交易量
49%
31°C或更高
$0 交易量
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current model consensus from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature near 26–27°C in Karachi on September 4, with limited overnight radiative cooling expected under partly to mostly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds.** High humidity near 80% and dew points around 23–24°C will further suppress temperature drops, while any light coastal drizzle linked to residual monsoon moisture could add marginal warming. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–27°C versus higher outcomes, with lower probabilities for 21°C or below reflecting historical rarity and the absence of strong clear-sky cooling or northerly advection. Updated PMD guidance and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs over the next 24 hours will refine the precise overnight minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$152结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current model consensus from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature near 26–27°C in Karachi on September 4, with limited overnight radiative cooling expected under partly to mostly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds.** High humidity near 80% and dew points around 23–24°C will further suppress temperature drops, while any light coastal drizzle linked to residual monsoon moisture could add marginal warming. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–27°C versus higher outcomes, with lower probabilities for 21°C or below reflecting historical rarity and the absence of strong clear-sky cooling or northerly advection. Updated PMD guidance and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs over the next 24 hours will refine the precise overnight minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$152结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Current model consensus from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature near 26–27°C in Karachi on September 4, with limited overnight radiative cooling expected under partly to mostly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds.** High humidity near 80% and dew points around 23–24°C will further suppress temperature drops, while any light coastal drizzle linked to residual monsoon moisture could add marginal warming. These conditions explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–27°C versus higher outcomes, with lower probabilities for 21°C or below reflecting historical rarity and the absence of strong clear-sky cooling or northerly advection. Updated PMD guidance and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs over the next 24 hours will refine the precise overnight minimum ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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