Forecast models and official guidance from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau point to a high-pressure system sustaining mostly sunny, dry conditions over the region through early September, supporting daily highs of 32–35°C on the 5th. This aligns with the typical early-month pattern under subtropical high influence before the onset of more frequent autumn rainfall later in the month. Ensemble runs show limited day-to-day variability and low precipitation probability, though small shifts in steering flow or cloud cover could trim peak values by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 27°C provide context for the current warmth, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at local stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日成都气温最高?
35°C 24%
34°C 23%
36°C 21%
37°C 20%
28°C或以下
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
5%
33°C
17%
34°C
23%
35°C
24%
36°C
21%
37°C
20%
38°C或更高
18%
35°C 24%
34°C 23%
36°C 21%
37°C 20%
28°C或以下
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
5%
33°C
17%
34°C
23%
35°C
24%
36°C
21%
37°C
20%
38°C或更高
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models and official guidance from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau point to a high-pressure system sustaining mostly sunny, dry conditions over the region through early September, supporting daily highs of 32–35°C on the 5th. This aligns with the typical early-month pattern under subtropical high influence before the onset of more frequent autumn rainfall later in the month. Ensemble runs show limited day-to-day variability and low precipitation probability, though small shifts in steering flow or cloud cover could trim peak values by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 27°C provide context for the current warmth, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at local stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题