Recent short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a highest temperature range of 25–30°C for September 3 amid northwest monsoon flow and scattered showers, with model runs showing afternoon peaks near 30–31°C under variable cloud cover. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–31°C because daytime heating depends on the timing and intensity of thunderstorms, which can suppress maxima by several degrees, while northwest winds and high humidity (70–95%) limit radiative warming. Broader September outlooks cite normal-to-above-normal temperatures linked to developing El Niño conditions and strengthening upper-level anticyclones, yet near-term uncertainty in convective timing keeps 29°C and 32°C viable at lower probabilities. Updated model guidance and official briefings tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日香港气温最高？
9月3日香港气温最高？
31°C 30%
30°C 27%
29°C 18%
32°C 16%
最新
$18,221 交易量
最新
$18,221 交易量
2026-09-03
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
18%
30°C
27%
31°C
30%
32°C
16%
33°C or higher
1%
31°C 30%
30°C 27%
29°C 18%
32°C 16%
最新
$18,221 交易量
最新
$18,221 交易量
2026-09-03
23°C or below
$414 交易量
<1%
24°C
$288 交易量
<1%
25°C
$560 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,041 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,201 交易量
1%
28°C
$3,062 交易量
4%
29°C
$2,226 交易量
18%
30°C
$2,952 交易量
27%
31°C
$3,084 交易量
30%
32°C
$2,103 交易量
16%
33°C or higher
$1,292 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a highest temperature range of 25–30°C for September 3 amid northwest monsoon flow and scattered showers, with model runs showing afternoon peaks near 30–31°C under variable cloud cover. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–31°C because daytime heating depends on the timing and intensity of thunderstorms, which can suppress maxima by several degrees, while northwest winds and high humidity (70–95%) limit radiative warming. Broader September outlooks cite normal-to-above-normal temperatures linked to developing El Niño conditions and strengthening upper-level anticyclones, yet near-term uncertainty in convective timing keeps 29°C and 32°C viable at lower probabilities. Updated model guidance and official briefings tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$18,221结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a highest temperature range of 25–30°C for September 3 amid northwest monsoon flow and scattered showers, with model runs showing afternoon peaks near 30–31°C under variable cloud cover. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–31°C because daytime heating depends on the timing and intensity of thunderstorms, which can suppress maxima by several degrees, while northwest winds and high humidity (70–95%) limit radiative warming. Broader September outlooks cite normal-to-above-normal temperatures linked to developing El Niño conditions and strengthening upper-level anticyclones, yet near-term uncertainty in convective timing keeps 29°C and 32°C viable at lower probabilities. Updated model guidance and official briefings tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$18,221结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a highest temperature range of 25–30°C for September 3 amid northwest monsoon flow and scattered showers, with model runs showing afternoon peaks near 30–31°C under variable cloud cover. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–31°C because daytime heating depends on the timing and intensity of thunderstorms, which can suppress maxima by several degrees, while northwest winds and high humidity (70–95%) limit radiative warming. Broader September outlooks cite normal-to-above-normal temperatures linked to developing El Niño conditions and strengthening upper-level anticyclones, yet near-term uncertainty in convective timing keeps 29°C and 32°C viable at lower probabilities. Updated model guidance and official briefings tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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