Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on September 4 amid persistent southerly flow, elevated humidity, and lack of a strong frontal passage. This warm advection pattern, typical of late-summer high-pressure ridging over the southern Plains, supports the market’s elevated implied probability for 76-77°F while also leaving room for a warmer minimum near or above 78°F if clouds and moisture linger. Historical September 4 lows average near 71°F, but recent seasons have trended warmer; any unexpected clearing or drier air intrusion could shift odds toward the 69°F-or-below bin. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs expected overnight will be the key near-term catalyst for trader adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日奥斯汀最低气温？
9月4日奥斯汀最低气温？
88华氏度或更高 88%
69°F或以下 77%
70-71°F 49%
72-73华氏度 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
69°F或以下
77%
70-71°F
49%
72-73华氏度
49%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
49%
86-87°F
49%
88华氏度或更高
88%
88华氏度或更高 88%
69°F或以下 77%
70-71°F 49%
72-73华氏度 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
69°F或以下
$0 交易量
77%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
49%
72-73华氏度
$0 交易量
49%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
30%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
39%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
32%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
49%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
49%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
49%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
49%
88华氏度或更高
$0 交易量
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on September 4 amid persistent southerly flow, elevated humidity, and lack of a strong frontal passage. This warm advection pattern, typical of late-summer high-pressure ridging over the southern Plains, supports the market’s elevated implied probability for 76-77°F while also leaving room for a warmer minimum near or above 78°F if clouds and moisture linger. Historical September 4 lows average near 71°F, but recent seasons have trended warmer; any unexpected clearing or drier air intrusion could shift odds toward the 69°F-or-below bin. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs expected overnight will be the key near-term catalyst for trader adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on September 4 amid persistent southerly flow, elevated humidity, and lack of a strong frontal passage. This warm advection pattern, typical of late-summer high-pressure ridging over the southern Plains, supports the market’s elevated implied probability for 76-77°F while also leaving room for a warmer minimum near or above 78°F if clouds and moisture linger. Historical September 4 lows average near 71°F, but recent seasons have trended warmer; any unexpected clearing or drier air intrusion could shift odds toward the 69°F-or-below bin. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs expected overnight will be the key near-term catalyst for trader adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETCurrent National Weather Service and model guidance point to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on September 4 amid persistent southerly flow, elevated humidity, and lack of a strong frontal passage. This warm advection pattern, typical of late-summer high-pressure ridging over the southern Plains, supports the market’s elevated implied probability for 76-77°F while also leaving room for a warmer minimum near or above 78°F if clouds and moisture linger. Historical September 4 lows average near 71°F, but recent seasons have trended warmer; any unexpected clearing or drier air intrusion could shift odds toward the 69°F-or-below bin. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs expected overnight will be the key near-term catalyst for trader adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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