Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain expected across Taipei on September 3 are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 30–31°C. Central Weather Administration forecasts and numerical models indicate overcast skies with thunderstorms, which limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. High humidity and easterly flow further suppress peaks by enhancing evaporative cooling during showers. Traders appear to weigh these conditions against historical September averages near 30°C, with the tight spread between 29–32°C reflecting uncertainty in exact rain timing and intensity. Updated model runs and CWA briefings ahead of resolution will likely refine the distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日台北气温最高?
30°C 34%
31°C 27%
29°C 19%
32°C 17%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
19%
30°C
34%
31°C
27%
32°C
17%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 34%
31°C 27%
29°C 19%
32°C 17%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
19%
30°C
34%
31°C
27%
32°C
17%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain expected across Taipei on September 3 are the main drivers keeping market-implied odds clustered around 30–31°C. Central Weather Administration forecasts and numerical models indicate overcast skies with thunderstorms, which limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. High humidity and easterly flow further suppress peaks by enhancing evaporative cooling during showers. Traders appear to weigh these conditions against historical September averages near 30°C, with the tight spread between 29–32°C reflecting uncertainty in exact rain timing and intensity. Updated model runs and CWA briefings ahead of resolution will likely refine the distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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