Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a highest temperature near 32°C in Beijing on September 5 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions driven by southerly flow and a lingering warm ridge. Recent days have featured highs of 30–33°C amid light winds and low humidity, consistent with early-September climatology where daily maxima average 26–28°C but can exceed 32°C during clear spells. Model spread of 1–3°C, combined with urban heat effects and exact station measurement criteria, produces closely matched implied probabilities across 29–33°C while limiting odds on extremes. Updated CMA guidance and refined model runs in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日北京气温最高？
9月5日北京气温最高？
34°C 26%
33°C 25%
32°C 24%
31°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
28°C或以下
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
12%
32°C
24%
33°C
25%
34°C
26%
35°C
8%
36°C
5%
37°C
6%
38°C或更高
7%
34°C 26%
33°C 25%
32°C 24%
31°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
28°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
29°C
$0 交易量
2%
30°C
$0 交易量
9%
31°C
$5 交易量
12%
32°C
$7 交易量
24%
33°C
$1 交易量
25%
34°C
$11 交易量
26%
35°C
$51 交易量
8%
36°C
$5 交易量
5%
37°C
$0 交易量
6%
38°C或更高
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a highest temperature near 32°C in Beijing on September 5 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions driven by southerly flow and a lingering warm ridge. Recent days have featured highs of 30–33°C amid light winds and low humidity, consistent with early-September climatology where daily maxima average 26–28°C but can exceed 32°C during clear spells. Model spread of 1–3°C, combined with urban heat effects and exact station measurement criteria, produces closely matched implied probabilities across 29–33°C while limiting odds on extremes. Updated CMA guidance and refined model runs in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$81结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a highest temperature near 32°C in Beijing on September 5 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions driven by southerly flow and a lingering warm ridge. Recent days have featured highs of 30–33°C amid light winds and low humidity, consistent with early-September climatology where daily maxima average 26–28°C but can exceed 32°C during clear spells. Model spread of 1–3°C, combined with urban heat effects and exact station measurement criteria, produces closely matched implied probabilities across 29–33°C while limiting odds on extremes. Updated CMA guidance and refined model runs in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$81结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a highest temperature near 32°C in Beijing on September 5 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions driven by southerly flow and a lingering warm ridge. Recent days have featured highs of 30–33°C amid light winds and low humidity, consistent with early-September climatology where daily maxima average 26–28°C but can exceed 32°C during clear spells. Model spread of 1–3°C, combined with urban heat effects and exact station measurement criteria, produces closely matched implied probabilities across 29–33°C while limiting odds on extremes. Updated CMA guidance and refined model runs in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题