Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily minimum temperature in Beijing on September 5 around 20–22°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and no precipitation, following a period of warming highs near 32–34°C. This places the outcome near the middle of the listed bins, yet market-implied probabilities remain closely matched across warmer (24°C+) and cooler (14°C or below) extremes. The balance likely reflects uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates, minor model spreads in boundary-layer humidity and wind, and the potential for small forecast adjustments before resolution. Historical September minima average near 18°C, providing context for the current elevated baseline driven by persistent high pressure. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日北京最低气温？
9月5日北京最低气温？
14°C或以下 69%
24°C或更高 69%
16°C 49%
20°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
14°C或以下
69%
15°C
29%
16°C
49%
17°C
26%
18°C
31%
19°C
32%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
2%
23°C
29%
24°C或更高
69%
14°C或以下 69%
24°C或更高 69%
16°C 49%
20°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
69%
15°C
$0 交易量
29%
16°C
$0 交易量
49%
17°C
$0 交易量
26%
18°C
$0 交易量
31%
19°C
$0 交易量
32%
20°C
$0 交易量
49%
21°C
$0 交易量
49%
22°C
$0 交易量
2%
23°C
$0 交易量
29%
24°C或更高
$0 交易量
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily minimum temperature in Beijing on September 5 around 20–22°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and no precipitation, following a period of warming highs near 32–34°C. This places the outcome near the middle of the listed bins, yet market-implied probabilities remain closely matched across warmer (24°C+) and cooler (14°C or below) extremes. The balance likely reflects uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates, minor model spreads in boundary-layer humidity and wind, and the potential for small forecast adjustments before resolution. Historical September minima average near 18°C, providing context for the current elevated baseline driven by persistent high pressure. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily minimum temperature in Beijing on September 5 around 20–22°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and no precipitation, following a period of warming highs near 32–34°C. This places the outcome near the middle of the listed bins, yet market-implied probabilities remain closely matched across warmer (24°C+) and cooler (14°C or below) extremes. The balance likely reflects uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates, minor model spreads in boundary-layer humidity and wind, and the potential for small forecast adjustments before resolution. Historical September minima average near 18°C, providing context for the current elevated baseline driven by persistent high pressure. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daily minimum temperature in Beijing on September 5 around 20–22°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and no precipitation, following a period of warming highs near 32–34°C. This places the outcome near the middle of the listed bins, yet market-implied probabilities remain closely matched across warmer (24°C+) and cooler (14°C or below) extremes. The balance likely reflects uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates, minor model spreads in boundary-layer humidity and wind, and the potential for small forecast adjustments before resolution. Historical September minima average near 18°C, providing context for the current elevated baseline driven by persistent high pressure. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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