Recent short-term forecast model runs show clearing skies over Wuhan by September 5 following several days of rain and cooler northerly flow, supporting trader consensus around 29–33°C. Subsidence under building high pressure, reduced cloud cover, and light winds favor daytime heating, yet lingering moisture and slight model spread in boundary-layer temperatures keep probabilities tightly clustered. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers projects highs near 30°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Yangtze valley where September daily maxima average 30–32°C. Upcoming afternoon updates from global models and local observations will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日武汉气温最高?
34°C 27%
33°C 25%
32°C 16%
35°C 14%
27°C或以下
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
12%
31°C
11%
32°C
16%
33°C
25%
34°C
27%
35°C
14%
36°C
6%
37°C或以上
1%
34°C 27%
33°C 25%
32°C 16%
35°C 14%
27°C或以下
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
12%
31°C
11%
32°C
16%
33°C
25%
34°C
27%
35°C
14%
36°C
6%
37°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-term forecast model runs show clearing skies over Wuhan by September 5 following several days of rain and cooler northerly flow, supporting trader consensus around 29–33°C. Subsidence under building high pressure, reduced cloud cover, and light winds favor daytime heating, yet lingering moisture and slight model spread in boundary-layer temperatures keep probabilities tightly clustered. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers projects highs near 30°C, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Yangtze valley where September daily maxima average 30–32°C. Upcoming afternoon updates from global models and local observations will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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