Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on September 4 project a high near 97°F under mostly sunny skies with only a 20% chance of morning showers, aligning with the market's concentration on 94–97°F outcomes. Southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture, combined with modest cloud cover and potential afternoon convection, introduces variability in peak insolation that could cap temperatures in the low-to-mid 90s versus allowing upper-90s readings. Historical climatology shows an average high of 93°F for the date, while model consensus and short-term updates from the Dallas/Fort Worth office remain the key near-term catalysts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日达拉斯的最高温度?
94-95°F 34%
96-97°F 25%
92-93°F 21%
98-99°F 15%
85华氏度或以下
2%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
21%
94-95°F
31%
96-97°F
25%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
6%
102-103°F
6%
104°F或更高
6%
94-95°F 34%
96-97°F 25%
92-93°F 21%
98-99°F 15%
85华氏度或以下
2%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
21%
94-95°F
31%
96-97°F
25%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
6%
102-103°F
6%
104°F或更高
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 2, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on September 4 project a high near 97°F under mostly sunny skies with only a 20% chance of morning showers, aligning with the market's concentration on 94–97°F outcomes. Southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture, combined with modest cloud cover and potential afternoon convection, introduces variability in peak insolation that could cap temperatures in the low-to-mid 90s versus allowing upper-90s readings. Historical climatology shows an average high of 93°F for the date, while model consensus and short-term updates from the Dallas/Fort Worth office remain the key near-term catalysts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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