Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance, indicate a maximum temperature near 31°C for Karachi on September 2, driven by typical early-September conditions with southwesterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and limited moisture influx as the southwest monsoon recedes. Current observations show daily highs stabilizing at 30–32°C amid moderate humidity and no significant synoptic systems expected to alter the pattern. This consensus, consistent with climatological norms for the period, underpins the market's emphasis on 31°C as the leading outcome while allowing modest probability for 30°C or 32°C depending on afternoon cloud cover and any localized sea-breeze effects. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日卡拉奇的最高温度?
31°C 46%
32°C 24%
30°C 19%
29°C 9%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
19%
31°C
46%
32°C
24%
33°C
4%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
31°C 46%
32°C 24%
30°C 19%
29°C 9%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
19%
31°C
46%
32°C
24%
33°C
4%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance, indicate a maximum temperature near 31°C for Karachi on September 2, driven by typical early-September conditions with southwesterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and limited moisture influx as the southwest monsoon recedes. Current observations show daily highs stabilizing at 30–32°C amid moderate humidity and no significant synoptic systems expected to alter the pattern. This consensus, consistent with climatological norms for the period, underpins the market's emphasis on 31°C as the leading outcome while allowing modest probability for 30°C or 32°C depending on afternoon cloud cover and any localized sea-breeze effects. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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