Forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources indicate mostly sunny conditions with northeasterly winds for Istanbul on September 2, supporting a daily maximum near 28–30 °C amid the seasonal transition from peak summer. These patterns, driven by high pressure and moderate sea-surface temperatures in the Marmara region, position 26–28 °C as the leading market-implied outcomes by limiting extreme heat while preventing rapid cooling. Recent stability in ensemble runs shows low precipitation risk and minimal model spread, though small shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could adjust the exact peak recorded at official stations. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range of likely values two days before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
9月2日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
26°C 48%
27°C 30%
25°C 28%
24°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
22°C or below
4%
23°C
3%
24°C
25%
25°C
28%
26°C
48%
27°C
30%
28°C
25%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 48%
27°C 30%
25°C 28%
24°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
22°C or below
$5 交易量
4%
23°C
$4 交易量
3%
24°C
$0 交易量
25%
25°C
$0 交易量
28%
26°C
$16 交易量
48%
27°C
$0 交易量
30%
28°C
$0 交易量
25%
29°C
$0 交易量
3%
30°C
$5 交易量
<1%
31°C
$5 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$5 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources indicate mostly sunny conditions with northeasterly winds for Istanbul on September 2, supporting a daily maximum near 28–30 °C amid the seasonal transition from peak summer. These patterns, driven by high pressure and moderate sea-surface temperatures in the Marmara region, position 26–28 °C as the leading market-implied outcomes by limiting extreme heat while preventing rapid cooling. Recent stability in ensemble runs shows low precipitation risk and minimal model spread, though small shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could adjust the exact peak recorded at official stations. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range of likely values two days before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$40结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources indicate mostly sunny conditions with northeasterly winds for Istanbul on September 2, supporting a daily maximum near 28–30 °C amid the seasonal transition from peak summer. These patterns, driven by high pressure and moderate sea-surface temperatures in the Marmara region, position 26–28 °C as the leading market-implied outcomes by limiting extreme heat while preventing rapid cooling. Recent stability in ensemble runs shows low precipitation risk and minimal model spread, though small shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could adjust the exact peak recorded at official stations. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range of likely values two days before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$40结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETForecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources indicate mostly sunny conditions with northeasterly winds for Istanbul on September 2, supporting a daily maximum near 28–30 °C amid the seasonal transition from peak summer. These patterns, driven by high pressure and moderate sea-surface temperatures in the Marmara region, position 26–28 °C as the leading market-implied outcomes by limiting extreme heat while preventing rapid cooling. Recent stability in ensemble runs shows low precipitation risk and minimal model spread, though small shifts in wind speed or cloud cover could adjust the exact peak recorded at official stations. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range of likely values two days before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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