Recent forecasts from multiple models show Busan maximum temperatures on September 2 likely peaking near 28–31 °C, driven by southerly flow under a weakening high-pressure ridge with partial afternoon clearing possible amid scattered thunderstorms. Cloud cover, higher humidity, and precipitation timing introduce downward bias to daytime highs, while any delayed onset of rain or stronger insolation could push readings into the low 30s °C. This narrow scientific range and modest model disagreement underpin the near-even market-implied odds for 32 °C versus 33 °C, with lower probabilities assigned to outcomes outside the consensus envelope. Updated short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and next ensemble runs will further refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日釜山气温最高？
9月2日釜山气温最高？
32°C 27%
31°C 12%
30°C 10%
29°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
27°C or below
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
10%
31°C
12%
32°C
27%
33°C
26%
34°C
4%
35°C
4%
36°C
7%
37°C或更高
<1%
32°C 27%
31°C 12%
30°C 10%
29°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
27°C or below
$44 交易量
1%
28°C
$0 交易量
3%
29°C
$7 交易量
9%
30°C
$4 交易量
10%
31°C
$0 交易量
12%
32°C
$0 交易量
27%
33°C
$11 交易量
26%
34°C
$0 交易量
4%
35°C
$0 交易量
4%
36°C
$5 交易量
7%
37°C或更高
$5 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show Busan maximum temperatures on September 2 likely peaking near 28–31 °C, driven by southerly flow under a weakening high-pressure ridge with partial afternoon clearing possible amid scattered thunderstorms. Cloud cover, higher humidity, and precipitation timing introduce downward bias to daytime highs, while any delayed onset of rain or stronger insolation could push readings into the low 30s °C. This narrow scientific range and modest model disagreement underpin the near-even market-implied odds for 32 °C versus 33 °C, with lower probabilities assigned to outcomes outside the consensus envelope. Updated short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and next ensemble runs will further refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$75结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show Busan maximum temperatures on September 2 likely peaking near 28–31 °C, driven by southerly flow under a weakening high-pressure ridge with partial afternoon clearing possible amid scattered thunderstorms. Cloud cover, higher humidity, and precipitation timing introduce downward bias to daytime highs, while any delayed onset of rain or stronger insolation could push readings into the low 30s °C. This narrow scientific range and modest model disagreement underpin the near-even market-implied odds for 32 °C versus 33 °C, with lower probabilities assigned to outcomes outside the consensus envelope. Updated short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and next ensemble runs will further refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$75结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models show Busan maximum temperatures on September 2 likely peaking near 28–31 °C, driven by southerly flow under a weakening high-pressure ridge with partial afternoon clearing possible amid scattered thunderstorms. Cloud cover, higher humidity, and precipitation timing introduce downward bias to daytime highs, while any delayed onset of rain or stronger insolation could push readings into the low 30s °C. This narrow scientific range and modest model disagreement underpin the near-even market-implied odds for 32 °C versus 33 °C, with lower probabilities assigned to outcomes outside the consensus envelope. Updated short-range guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and next ensemble runs will further refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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