Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high-pressure system (around 1019 hPa) settling over Warsaw by September 2, with light westerly winds, minimal cloud cover, and no significant precipitation, supporting daytime warming to 22–23°C after cooler conditions on September 1. This aligns with early-September climatological averages near 21–22°C and follows a brief warm spell at the end of August. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering in this narrow range and low odds for extremes due to stable steering patterns and moderate humidity. Traders have priced 23°C as the modal outcome, reflecting the slight upside bias in current model consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty this far ahead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日华沙最高气温？
9月2日华沙最高气温？
23°C 45%
22°C 34%
21°C 12%
24°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
4%
21°C
12%
22°C
34%
23°C
45%
24°C
10%
25°C
4%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 45%
22°C 34%
21°C 12%
24°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
17°C or below
$142 交易量
<1%
18°C
$5 交易量
1%
19°C
$5 交易量
3%
20°C
$0 交易量
4%
21°C
$169 交易量
12%
22°C
$188 交易量
34%
23°C
$425 交易量
45%
24°C
$0 交易量
10%
25°C
$8 交易量
4%
26°C
$59 交易量
<1%
27°C or higher
$132 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high-pressure system (around 1019 hPa) settling over Warsaw by September 2, with light westerly winds, minimal cloud cover, and no significant precipitation, supporting daytime warming to 22–23°C after cooler conditions on September 1. This aligns with early-September climatological averages near 21–22°C and follows a brief warm spell at the end of August. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering in this narrow range and low odds for extremes due to stable steering patterns and moderate humidity. Traders have priced 23°C as the modal outcome, reflecting the slight upside bias in current model consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty this far ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$1,133结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high-pressure system (around 1019 hPa) settling over Warsaw by September 2, with light westerly winds, minimal cloud cover, and no significant precipitation, supporting daytime warming to 22–23°C after cooler conditions on September 1. This aligns with early-September climatological averages near 21–22°C and follows a brief warm spell at the end of August. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering in this narrow range and low odds for extremes due to stable steering patterns and moderate humidity. Traders have priced 23°C as the modal outcome, reflecting the slight upside bias in current model consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty this far ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,133结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high-pressure system (around 1019 hPa) settling over Warsaw by September 2, with light westerly winds, minimal cloud cover, and no significant precipitation, supporting daytime warming to 22–23°C after cooler conditions on September 1. This aligns with early-September climatological averages near 21–22°C and follows a brief warm spell at the end of August. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering in this narrow range and low odds for extremes due to stable steering patterns and moderate humidity. Traders have priced 23°C as the modal outcome, reflecting the slight upside bias in current model consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty this far ahead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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