Current forecasts for Warsaw indicate overnight lows near 14°C on September 2 under building high pressure and light westerly flow advecting milder Atlantic air, with partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling. This setup explains the tight 50% market split between 14°C and warmer 19°C+ outcomes, as modest shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal timing could raise or lower the minimum by several degrees. Historical early-September baselines average around 12–15°C, and ensemble models show limited spread given the short lead time, though any unexpected clear-sky development could favor the lower probabilities clustered near 11–13°C. Traders appear focused on the next ECMWF and GFS runs for confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日华沙最低气温？
9月2日华沙最低气温？
19°C or higher 100%
11°C 95%
12°C 95%
18°C 95%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
9°C or below
14%
10°C
85%
11°C
95%
12°C
95%
13°C
91%
14°C
57%
15°C
30%
16°C
93%
17°C
14%
18°C
95%
19°C or higher
100%
19°C or higher 100%
11°C 95%
12°C 95%
18°C 95%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
9°C or below
$5 交易量
14%
10°C
$69 交易量
85%
11°C
$0 交易量
95%
12°C
$0 交易量
95%
13°C
$0 交易量
91%
14°C
$0 交易量
57%
15°C
$0 交易量
30%
16°C
$15 交易量
93%
17°C
$20 交易量
14%
18°C
$5 交易量
95%
19°C or higher
$5 交易量
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Warsaw indicate overnight lows near 14°C on September 2 under building high pressure and light westerly flow advecting milder Atlantic air, with partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling. This setup explains the tight 50% market split between 14°C and warmer 19°C+ outcomes, as modest shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal timing could raise or lower the minimum by several degrees. Historical early-September baselines average around 12–15°C, and ensemble models show limited spread given the short lead time, though any unexpected clear-sky development could favor the lower probabilities clustered near 11–13°C. Traders appear focused on the next ECMWF and GFS runs for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$119结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Warsaw indicate overnight lows near 14°C on September 2 under building high pressure and light westerly flow advecting milder Atlantic air, with partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling. This setup explains the tight 50% market split between 14°C and warmer 19°C+ outcomes, as modest shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal timing could raise or lower the minimum by several degrees. Historical early-September baselines average around 12–15°C, and ensemble models show limited spread given the short lead time, though any unexpected clear-sky development could favor the lower probabilities clustered near 11–13°C. Traders appear focused on the next ECMWF and GFS runs for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$119结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecasts for Warsaw indicate overnight lows near 14°C on September 2 under building high pressure and light westerly flow advecting milder Atlantic air, with partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling. This setup explains the tight 50% market split between 14°C and warmer 19°C+ outcomes, as modest shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or frontal timing could raise or lower the minimum by several degrees. Historical early-September baselines average around 12–15°C, and ensemble models show limited spread given the short lead time, though any unexpected clear-sky development could favor the lower probabilities clustered near 11–13°C. Traders appear focused on the next ECMWF and GFS runs for confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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