Current meteorological observations and forecast models for Warsaw on September 1, 2026, indicate overnight minimum temperatures stabilizing near 15°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and moderate humidity. Real-time station data and GFS ensemble outputs show daytime highs around 21–23°C transitioning to nocturnal cooling that aligns with this threshold, consistent with early-September climatology adjusted for the prevailing synoptic pattern. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C reflects this strong model agreement and observed trends, with only negligible odds on 22°C or higher. A realistic challenge could arise from stronger radiative cooling under clearing skies or an unanticipated cold air advection, potentially dropping the minimum below the expected value, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日华沙最低气温？
9月1日华沙最低气温？
15°C 99%
13°C 1.0%
14°C 1.0%
12°C or below <1%
$6,411 交易量
$6,411 交易量
2026-09-01
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
15°C 99%
13°C 1.0%
14°C 1.0%
12°C or below <1%
$6,411 交易量
$6,411 交易量
2026-09-01
12°C or below
$298 交易量
No
13°C
$26 交易量
No
14°C
$14 交易量
No
15°C
$205 交易量
Yes
16°C
$46 交易量
No
17°C
$4,934 交易量
No
18°C
$35 交易量
No
19°C
$55 交易量
No
20°C
$55 交易量
No
21°C
$80 交易量
No
22°C or higher
$663 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological observations and forecast models for Warsaw on September 1, 2026, indicate overnight minimum temperatures stabilizing near 15°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and moderate humidity. Real-time station data and GFS ensemble outputs show daytime highs around 21–23°C transitioning to nocturnal cooling that aligns with this threshold, consistent with early-September climatology adjusted for the prevailing synoptic pattern. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C reflects this strong model agreement and observed trends, with only negligible odds on 22°C or higher. A realistic challenge could arise from stronger radiative cooling under clearing skies or an unanticipated cold air advection, potentially dropping the minimum below the expected value, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$6,411结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological observations and forecast models for Warsaw on September 1, 2026, indicate overnight minimum temperatures stabilizing near 15°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and moderate humidity. Real-time station data and GFS ensemble outputs show daytime highs around 21–23°C transitioning to nocturnal cooling that aligns with this threshold, consistent with early-September climatology adjusted for the prevailing synoptic pattern. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C reflects this strong model agreement and observed trends, with only negligible odds on 22°C or higher. A realistic challenge could arise from stronger radiative cooling under clearing skies or an unanticipated cold air advection, potentially dropping the minimum below the expected value, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,411结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current meteorological observations and forecast models for Warsaw on September 1, 2026, indicate overnight minimum temperatures stabilizing near 15°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and moderate humidity. Real-time station data and GFS ensemble outputs show daytime highs around 21–23°C transitioning to nocturnal cooling that aligns with this threshold, consistent with early-September climatology adjusted for the prevailing synoptic pattern. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 15°C reflects this strong model agreement and observed trends, with only negligible odds on 22°C or higher. A realistic challenge could arise from stronger radiative cooling under clearing skies or an unanticipated cold air advection, potentially dropping the minimum below the expected value, though current atmospheric stability makes such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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