**Recent forecasts from multiple models point to overnight lows in Warsaw on September 3 near 14–16°C, with the market's tight clustering around 12–14°C reflecting uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling and boundary-layer conditions.** Light southwesterly winds, high pressure near 1018–1019 hPa, and variable cloud cover (30–90% overnight) will control how much heat escapes after sunset; clearer intervals allow stronger cooling toward 12–13°C, while increased low-level moisture or lingering cloud reduces the drop. Historical early-September averages (roughly 10–11°C lows) provide context, but current stable anticyclonic flow and modest warm advection keep probabilities elevated for the 13–14°C band. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs tonight, plus any shift in frontal timing, remain the key near-term catalysts for market movement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日华沙最低气温？
9月3日华沙最低气温？
19°C or higher 44%
13°C 30%
14°C 26%
15°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
9°C or below
21%
10°C
4%
11°C
15%
12°C
24%
13°C
30%
14°C
26%
15°C
25%
16°C
17%
17°C
15%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
44%
19°C or higher 44%
13°C 30%
14°C 26%
15°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
9°C or below
$0 交易量
21%
10°C
$5 交易量
4%
11°C
$0 交易量
15%
12°C
$0 交易量
24%
13°C
$0 交易量
30%
14°C
$0 交易量
26%
15°C
$0 交易量
25%
16°C
$5 交易量
17%
17°C
$5 交易量
15%
18°C
$5 交易量
2%
19°C or higher
$5 交易量
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple models point to overnight lows in Warsaw on September 3 near 14–16°C, with the market's tight clustering around 12–14°C reflecting uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling and boundary-layer conditions.** Light southwesterly winds, high pressure near 1018–1019 hPa, and variable cloud cover (30–90% overnight) will control how much heat escapes after sunset; clearer intervals allow stronger cooling toward 12–13°C, while increased low-level moisture or lingering cloud reduces the drop. Historical early-September averages (roughly 10–11°C lows) provide context, but current stable anticyclonic flow and modest warm advection keep probabilities elevated for the 13–14°C band. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs tonight, plus any shift in frontal timing, remain the key near-term catalysts for market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$25结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple models point to overnight lows in Warsaw on September 3 near 14–16°C, with the market's tight clustering around 12–14°C reflecting uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling and boundary-layer conditions.** Light southwesterly winds, high pressure near 1018–1019 hPa, and variable cloud cover (30–90% overnight) will control how much heat escapes after sunset; clearer intervals allow stronger cooling toward 12–13°C, while increased low-level moisture or lingering cloud reduces the drop. Historical early-September averages (roughly 10–11°C lows) provide context, but current stable anticyclonic flow and modest warm advection keep probabilities elevated for the 13–14°C band. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs tonight, plus any shift in frontal timing, remain the key near-term catalysts for market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Recent forecasts from multiple models point to overnight lows in Warsaw on September 3 near 14–16°C, with the market's tight clustering around 12–14°C reflecting uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling and boundary-layer conditions.** Light southwesterly winds, high pressure near 1018–1019 hPa, and variable cloud cover (30–90% overnight) will control how much heat escapes after sunset; clearer intervals allow stronger cooling toward 12–13°C, while increased low-level moisture or lingering cloud reduces the drop. Historical early-September averages (roughly 10–11°C lows) provide context, but current stable anticyclonic flow and modest warm advection keep probabilities elevated for the 13–14°C band. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs tonight, plus any shift in frontal timing, remain the key near-term catalysts for market movement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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