Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Austin peg the September 2 high near 99–100°F amid a persistent warm, southerly flow and strong high pressure. Model consensus supports above-normal temperatures relative to the early-September climatological average of roughly 94°F, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring peak heating. The near-even split between 98–99°F (44%) and 100–101°F (42%) market-implied odds captures forecast uncertainty around afternoon convective development and minor model spread in maximum temperature. Historical records show September 2 highs have reached 106°F, underscoring the potential for outliers if subsidence strengthens further. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日奥斯汀的最高温度？
9月2日奥斯汀的最高温度？
98-99°F 44%
100-101°F 33%
96-97°F 26%
102-103°F 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
87°F或以下
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
26%
98-99°F
44%
100-101°F
33%
102-103°F
17%
104-105°F
6%
106°F或更高
2%
98-99°F 44%
100-101°F 33%
96-97°F 26%
102-103°F 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
87°F或以下
$491 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$17 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$25 交易量
5%
92-93°F
$26 交易量
4%
94-95°F
$101 交易量
4%
96-97°F
$13 交易量
26%
98-99°F
$137 交易量
44%
100-101°F
$17 交易量
33%
102-103°F
$8 交易量
17%
104-105°F
$15 交易量
6%
106°F或更高
$36 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Austin peg the September 2 high near 99–100°F amid a persistent warm, southerly flow and strong high pressure. Model consensus supports above-normal temperatures relative to the early-September climatological average of roughly 94°F, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring peak heating. The near-even split between 98–99°F (44%) and 100–101°F (42%) market-implied odds captures forecast uncertainty around afternoon convective development and minor model spread in maximum temperature. Historical records show September 2 highs have reached 106°F, underscoring the potential for outliers if subsidence strengthens further. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$886结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Austin peg the September 2 high near 99–100°F amid a persistent warm, southerly flow and strong high pressure. Model consensus supports above-normal temperatures relative to the early-September climatological average of roughly 94°F, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring peak heating. The near-even split between 98–99°F (44%) and 100–101°F (42%) market-implied odds captures forecast uncertainty around afternoon convective development and minor model spread in maximum temperature. Historical records show September 2 highs have reached 106°F, underscoring the potential for outliers if subsidence strengthens further. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$886结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts for Austin peg the September 2 high near 99–100°F amid a persistent warm, southerly flow and strong high pressure. Model consensus supports above-normal temperatures relative to the early-September climatological average of roughly 94°F, with limited cloud cover and light winds favoring peak heating. The near-even split between 98–99°F (44%) and 100–101°F (42%) market-implied odds captures forecast uncertainty around afternoon convective development and minor model spread in maximum temperature. Historical records show September 2 highs have reached 106°F, underscoring the potential for outliers if subsidence strengthens further. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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