Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models highlight an intense cut-off low approaching the Western Cape, expected to deliver cooler, wet, and windy conditions to Cape Town on September 3. This system supports minimum temperatures near 11–13 °C according to the latest runs, consistent with early-September climatology, though localized cooling under cloud cover and showers could push readings slightly lower. Trader-implied odds remain closely bunched because model timing and exact boundary-layer mixing introduce meaningful uncertainty in the overnight low. Updated SAWS guidance and higher-resolution model outputs scheduled for the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日开普敦最低温度？
9月3日开普敦最低温度？
7°C或以下 69%
17°C或更高 59%
8°C 49%
11°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
7°C或以下
69%
8°C
49%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
29%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
25%
15°C
17%
16°C
2%
17°C或更高
59%
7°C或以下 69%
17°C或更高 59%
8°C 49%
11°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
7°C或以下
$5 交易量
69%
8°C
$5 交易量
49%
9°C
$0 交易量
26%
10°C
$0 交易量
27%
11°C
$0 交易量
29%
12°C
$0 交易量
26%
13°C
$0 交易量
26%
14°C
$0 交易量
25%
15°C
$5 交易量
17%
16°C
$5 交易量
2%
17°C或更高
$5 交易量
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models highlight an intense cut-off low approaching the Western Cape, expected to deliver cooler, wet, and windy conditions to Cape Town on September 3. This system supports minimum temperatures near 11–13 °C according to the latest runs, consistent with early-September climatology, though localized cooling under cloud cover and showers could push readings slightly lower. Trader-implied odds remain closely bunched because model timing and exact boundary-layer mixing introduce meaningful uncertainty in the overnight low. Updated SAWS guidance and higher-resolution model outputs scheduled for the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$25结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models highlight an intense cut-off low approaching the Western Cape, expected to deliver cooler, wet, and windy conditions to Cape Town on September 3. This system supports minimum temperatures near 11–13 °C according to the latest runs, consistent with early-September climatology, though localized cooling under cloud cover and showers could push readings slightly lower. Trader-implied odds remain closely bunched because model timing and exact boundary-layer mixing introduce meaningful uncertainty in the overnight low. Updated SAWS guidance and higher-resolution model outputs scheduled for the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models highlight an intense cut-off low approaching the Western Cape, expected to deliver cooler, wet, and windy conditions to Cape Town on September 3. This system supports minimum temperatures near 11–13 °C according to the latest runs, consistent with early-September climatology, though localized cooling under cloud cover and showers could push readings slightly lower. Trader-implied odds remain closely bunched because model timing and exact boundary-layer mixing introduce meaningful uncertainty in the overnight low. Updated SAWS guidance and higher-resolution model outputs scheduled for the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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