Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a Cape Town minimum near 11–12°C on September 2, supported by persistent high pressure, light southerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that moderate radiative cooling overnight. Dew points around 9–11°C and limited moisture advection from the Atlantic further constrain sharp drops, while historical September climatology shows typical lows of 11–13°C. Model spread creates balanced market-implied odds around the 9–14°C thresholds, with lower probabilities for sub-8°C readings reflecting the low likelihood of stronger cold-air outbreaks or clear-sky extremes before the next frontal system arrives on September 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日开普敦最低温度？
9月2日开普敦最低温度？
6°C or below 100%
16°C or higher 100%
13°C 99%
9°C 69%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
6°C or below
100%
7°C
39%
8°C
35%
9°C
69%
10°C
43%
11°C
66%
12°C
42%
13°C
99%
14°C
17%
15°C
13%
16°C or higher
100%
6°C or below 100%
16°C or higher 100%
13°C 99%
9°C 69%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
6°C or below
$5 交易量
100%
7°C
$0 交易量
39%
8°C
$0 交易量
35%
9°C
$0 交易量
69%
10°C
$0 交易量
43%
11°C
$0 交易量
66%
12°C
$0 交易量
42%
13°C
$15 交易量
99%
14°C
$5 交易量
17%
15°C
$5 交易量
13%
16°C or higher
$5 交易量
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a Cape Town minimum near 11–12°C on September 2, supported by persistent high pressure, light southerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that moderate radiative cooling overnight. Dew points around 9–11°C and limited moisture advection from the Atlantic further constrain sharp drops, while historical September climatology shows typical lows of 11–13°C. Model spread creates balanced market-implied odds around the 9–14°C thresholds, with lower probabilities for sub-8°C readings reflecting the low likelihood of stronger cold-air outbreaks or clear-sky extremes before the next frontal system arrives on September 3.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$35结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a Cape Town minimum near 11–12°C on September 2, supported by persistent high pressure, light southerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that moderate radiative cooling overnight. Dew points around 9–11°C and limited moisture advection from the Atlantic further constrain sharp drops, while historical September climatology shows typical lows of 11–13°C. Model spread creates balanced market-implied odds around the 9–14°C thresholds, with lower probabilities for sub-8°C readings reflecting the low likelihood of stronger cold-air outbreaks or clear-sky extremes before the next frontal system arrives on September 3.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$35结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models point to a Cape Town minimum near 11–12°C on September 2, supported by persistent high pressure, light southerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that moderate radiative cooling overnight. Dew points around 9–11°C and limited moisture advection from the Atlantic further constrain sharp drops, while historical September climatology shows typical lows of 11–13°C. Model spread creates balanced market-implied odds around the 9–14°C thresholds, with lower probabilities for sub-8°C readings reflecting the low likelihood of stronger cold-air outbreaks or clear-sky extremes before the next frontal system arrives on September 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题