Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooling trend for Busan on September 4 driven by strengthening northeasterly winds and the arrival of cooler air masses, with projected daily highs centered around 27–29°C amid partly cloudy skies and low precipitation chances. This aligns with the early September climatological average of roughly 27°C and follows recent late-summer warmth that has gradually eased since early September. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 34% implied probability for 29°C and 22% for 28°C, incorporates uncertainty from variable wind speeds, potential model spread on exact frontal timing, and localized urban heat effects, while lower probabilities for 30°C or above highlight the limited potential for brief warming episodes before sustained cooling sets in. Updated guidance from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日釜山气温最高？
9月4日釜山气温最高？
29°C 42%
28°C 25%
30°C 16%
27°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
23°C或以下
4%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
11%
28°C
25%
29°C
34%
30°C
16%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C或更高
1%
29°C 42%
28°C 25%
30°C 16%
27°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
23°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
24°C
$0 交易量
3%
25°C
$0 交易量
2%
26°C
$20 交易量
3%
27°C
$0 交易量
11%
28°C
$0 交易量
25%
29°C
$21 交易量
34%
30°C
$0 交易量
16%
31°C
$0 交易量
5%
32°C
$100 交易量
1%
33°C或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooling trend for Busan on September 4 driven by strengthening northeasterly winds and the arrival of cooler air masses, with projected daily highs centered around 27–29°C amid partly cloudy skies and low precipitation chances. This aligns with the early September climatological average of roughly 27°C and follows recent late-summer warmth that has gradually eased since early September. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 34% implied probability for 29°C and 22% for 28°C, incorporates uncertainty from variable wind speeds, potential model spread on exact frontal timing, and localized urban heat effects, while lower probabilities for 30°C or above highlight the limited potential for brief warming episodes before sustained cooling sets in. Updated guidance from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$141结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooling trend for Busan on September 4 driven by strengthening northeasterly winds and the arrival of cooler air masses, with projected daily highs centered around 27–29°C amid partly cloudy skies and low precipitation chances. This aligns with the early September climatological average of roughly 27°C and follows recent late-summer warmth that has gradually eased since early September. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 34% implied probability for 29°C and 22% for 28°C, incorporates uncertainty from variable wind speeds, potential model spread on exact frontal timing, and localized urban heat effects, while lower probabilities for 30°C or above highlight the limited potential for brief warming episodes before sustained cooling sets in. Updated guidance from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$141结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooling trend for Busan on September 4 driven by strengthening northeasterly winds and the arrival of cooler air masses, with projected daily highs centered around 27–29°C amid partly cloudy skies and low precipitation chances. This aligns with the early September climatological average of roughly 27°C and follows recent late-summer warmth that has gradually eased since early September. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 34% implied probability for 29°C and 22% for 28°C, incorporates uncertainty from variable wind speeds, potential model spread on exact frontal timing, and localized urban heat effects, while lower probabilities for 30°C or above highlight the limited potential for brief warming episodes before sustained cooling sets in. Updated guidance from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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