Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a September 4 high near 21°C in Warsaw amid a shift toward cloudier conditions and scattered showers linked to a weakening frontal system. Westerly flow and rising humidity are expected to limit daytime heating compared with the clearer, warmer pattern of the prior days, aligning with early-September climatology around 21°C. Trader emphasis on the narrow 21–22°C band reflects model agreement on overall moderation while acknowledging small uncertainties in exact cloud timing, shower intensity, and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C either way. Updated model runs and official observations closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日华沙最高气温？
9月4日华沙最高气温？
22℃ 27%
21°C 26%
20°C 14%
23°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
18°C或以下
6%
19°C
5%
20°C
14%
21°C
26%
22℃
27%
23°C
11%
24°C
4%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C或更高
2%
22℃ 27%
21°C 26%
20°C 14%
23°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
18°C或以下
$0 交易量
6%
19°C
$0 交易量
5%
20°C
$0 交易量
14%
21°C
$7 交易量
26%
22℃
$19 交易量
27%
23°C
$0 交易量
11%
24°C
$0 交易量
4%
25°C
$0 交易量
3%
26°C
$0 交易量
3%
27°C
$0 交易量
2%
28°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a September 4 high near 21°C in Warsaw amid a shift toward cloudier conditions and scattered showers linked to a weakening frontal system. Westerly flow and rising humidity are expected to limit daytime heating compared with the clearer, warmer pattern of the prior days, aligning with early-September climatology around 21°C. Trader emphasis on the narrow 21–22°C band reflects model agreement on overall moderation while acknowledging small uncertainties in exact cloud timing, shower intensity, and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C either way. Updated model runs and official observations closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$26结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a September 4 high near 21°C in Warsaw amid a shift toward cloudier conditions and scattered showers linked to a weakening frontal system. Westerly flow and rising humidity are expected to limit daytime heating compared with the clearer, warmer pattern of the prior days, aligning with early-September climatology around 21°C. Trader emphasis on the narrow 21–22°C band reflects model agreement on overall moderation while acknowledging small uncertainties in exact cloud timing, shower intensity, and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C either way. Updated model runs and official observations closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$26结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a September 4 high near 21°C in Warsaw amid a shift toward cloudier conditions and scattered showers linked to a weakening frontal system. Westerly flow and rising humidity are expected to limit daytime heating compared with the clearer, warmer pattern of the prior days, aligning with early-September climatology around 21°C. Trader emphasis on the narrow 21–22°C band reflects model agreement on overall moderation while acknowledging small uncertainties in exact cloud timing, shower intensity, and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the daily maximum by 1°C either way. Updated model runs and official observations closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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