**Trader sentiment for Busan's September 4 minimum temperature reflects substantial forecast uncertainty between roughly 21–27 °C, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 44 % for those outcomes.** Current numerical weather guidance shows northeasterly flow strengthening on September 3–4, advecting cooler maritime air across the East Sea while increasing wind speeds to 15–20 mph. This reduces nocturnal radiative cooling and elevates the overnight minimum compared with calm conditions. Cloud cover and any patchy light precipitation further modulate the temperature by limiting longwave heat loss or providing slight evaporative cooling. Model consensus points to a most-likely minimum near 24–25 °C, close to early-September climatology (historical average low ~22 °C), yet small differences in predicted wind strength, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of any frontal passage can shift the realized minimum by several degrees. The balanced market prices capture this genuine spread in ensemble guidance rather than a single deterministic outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日釜山气温最低？
9月4日釜山气温最低？
21°C 89%
23°C 89%
24°C 89%
25°C 89%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
20°C或以下
69%
21°C
89%
22°C
88%
23°C
89%
24°C
89%
25°C
89%
26°C
89%
27°C
88%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C或更高
59%
21°C 89%
23°C 89%
24°C 89%
25°C 89%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
20°C或以下
$0 交易量
69%
21°C
$0 交易量
89%
22°C
$0 交易量
88%
23°C
$0 交易量
89%
24°C
$0 交易量
89%
25°C
$0 交易量
89%
26°C
$0 交易量
89%
27°C
$0 交易量
88%
28°C
$0 交易量
2%
29°C
$0 交易量
7%
30°C或更高
$0 交易量
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Busan's September 4 minimum temperature reflects substantial forecast uncertainty between roughly 21–27 °C, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 44 % for those outcomes.**
Current numerical weather guidance shows northeasterly flow strengthening on September 3–4, advecting cooler maritime air across the East Sea while increasing wind speeds to 15–20 mph. This reduces nocturnal radiative cooling and elevates the overnight minimum compared with calm conditions. Cloud cover and any patchy light precipitation further modulate the temperature by limiting longwave heat loss or providing slight evaporative cooling.
Model consensus points to a most-likely minimum near 24–25 °C, close to early-September climatology (historical average low ~22 °C), yet small differences in predicted wind strength, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of any frontal passage can shift the realized minimum by several degrees. The balanced market prices capture this genuine spread in ensemble guidance rather than a single deterministic outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Busan's September 4 minimum temperature reflects substantial forecast uncertainty between roughly 21–27 °C, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 44 % for those outcomes.**
Current numerical weather guidance shows northeasterly flow strengthening on September 3–4, advecting cooler maritime air across the East Sea while increasing wind speeds to 15–20 mph. This reduces nocturnal radiative cooling and elevates the overnight minimum compared with calm conditions. Cloud cover and any patchy light precipitation further modulate the temperature by limiting longwave heat loss or providing slight evaporative cooling.
Model consensus points to a most-likely minimum near 24–25 °C, close to early-September climatology (historical average low ~22 °C), yet small differences in predicted wind strength, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of any frontal passage can shift the realized minimum by several degrees. The balanced market prices capture this genuine spread in ensemble guidance rather than a single deterministic outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Busan's September 4 minimum temperature reflects substantial forecast uncertainty between roughly 21–27 °C, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 44 % for those outcomes.** Current numerical weather guidance shows northeasterly flow strengthening on September 3–4, advecting cooler maritime air across the East Sea while increasing wind speeds to 15–20 mph. This reduces nocturnal radiative cooling and elevates the overnight minimum compared with calm conditions. Cloud cover and any patchy light precipitation further modulate the temperature by limiting longwave heat loss or providing slight evaporative cooling. Model consensus points to a most-likely minimum near 24–25 °C, close to early-September climatology (historical average low ~22 °C), yet small differences in predicted wind strength, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of any frontal passage can shift the realized minimum by several degrees. The balanced market prices capture this genuine spread in ensemble guidance rather than a single deterministic outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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