Recent European model consensus, including GFS and ECMWF runs, points to a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy delivering clear skies and light winds for Milan on September 4, supporting maximum temperatures of 32–34 °C. These conditions favor strong daytime heating under September climatology, where average highs reach the low 20s °C but recent warm anomalies have pushed readings several degrees above normal. Forecast spreads remain modest, with limited disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and no significant moisture or frontal intrusions expected to moderate peaks. Traders appear to weight the 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes most heavily given this tight clustering, though minor shifts in model initialization or local urban heat effects could still alter the final maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日米兰最高气温？
9月4日米兰最高气温？
32°C 48%
33°C 37%
34°C 11%
31°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
27°C或以下
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
9%
32°C
48%
33°C
37%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
4%
37°C或更高
3%
32°C 48%
33°C 37%
34°C 11%
31°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
27°C或以下
$0 交易量
3%
28°C
$0 交易量
4%
29°C
$0 交易量
2%
30°C
$0 交易量
4%
31°C
$78 交易量
9%
32°C
$204 交易量
48%
33°C
$102 交易量
37%
34°C
$21 交易量
11%
35°C
$10 交易量
2%
36°C
$0 交易量
4%
37°C或更高
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus, including GFS and ECMWF runs, points to a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy delivering clear skies and light winds for Milan on September 4, supporting maximum temperatures of 32–34 °C. These conditions favor strong daytime heating under September climatology, where average highs reach the low 20s °C but recent warm anomalies have pushed readings several degrees above normal. Forecast spreads remain modest, with limited disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and no significant moisture or frontal intrusions expected to moderate peaks. Traders appear to weight the 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes most heavily given this tight clustering, though minor shifts in model initialization or local urban heat effects could still alter the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$415结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus, including GFS and ECMWF runs, points to a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy delivering clear skies and light winds for Milan on September 4, supporting maximum temperatures of 32–34 °C. These conditions favor strong daytime heating under September climatology, where average highs reach the low 20s °C but recent warm anomalies have pushed readings several degrees above normal. Forecast spreads remain modest, with limited disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and no significant moisture or frontal intrusions expected to moderate peaks. Traders appear to weight the 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes most heavily given this tight clustering, though minor shifts in model initialization or local urban heat effects could still alter the final maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$415结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent European model consensus, including GFS and ECMWF runs, points to a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy delivering clear skies and light winds for Milan on September 4, supporting maximum temperatures of 32–34 °C. These conditions favor strong daytime heating under September climatology, where average highs reach the low 20s °C but recent warm anomalies have pushed readings several degrees above normal. Forecast spreads remain modest, with limited disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and no significant moisture or frontal intrusions expected to moderate peaks. Traders appear to weight the 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes most heavily given this tight clustering, though minor shifts in model initialization or local urban heat effects could still alter the final maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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