**Trader sentiment for Wellington's September 4 minimum temperature centers on the narrow 10–13 °C range, where implied probabilities cluster tightly because official forecasts and ensemble models converge on an overnight low near 10–11 °C amid springtime variability.** Northwesterly winds and partial cloud cover are limiting radiative cooling, while dew points near 8–10 °C and moderate mixing prevent deeper drops; any increase in clear-sky periods or lighter winds could allow temperatures to reach 10 °C or below, whereas lingering cloud or a wind shift would hold readings closer to 12–13 °C. Historical September minima average around 8–9 °C, but current conditions reflect a milder airmass. Updated MetService guidance and the next model runs will be the key near-term catalysts as the day’s lowest reading is finalized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日惠灵顿的最低温度？
9月4日惠灵顿的最低温度？
12°C 43%
13°C 43%
11°C 42%
10°C 41%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
7°C或以下
26%
8°C
25%
9°C
26%
10°C
41%
11°C
42%
12°C
43%
13°C
43%
14°C
28%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C或更高
<1%
12°C 43%
13°C 43%
11°C 42%
10°C 41%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
7°C或以下
$22 交易量
26%
8°C
$20 交易量
25%
9°C
$0 交易量
26%
10°C
$0 交易量
41%
11°C
$0 交易量
42%
12°C
$0 交易量
43%
13°C
$3 交易量
43%
14°C
$2 交易量
28%
15°C
$181 交易量
2%
16°C
$1,085 交易量
<1%
17°C或更高
$796 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Wellington's September 4 minimum temperature centers on the narrow 10–13 °C range, where implied probabilities cluster tightly because official forecasts and ensemble models converge on an overnight low near 10–11 °C amid springtime variability.**
Northwesterly winds and partial cloud cover are limiting radiative cooling, while dew points near 8–10 °C and moderate mixing prevent deeper drops; any increase in clear-sky periods or lighter winds could allow temperatures to reach 10 °C or below, whereas lingering cloud or a wind shift would hold readings closer to 12–13 °C. Historical September minima average around 8–9 °C, but current conditions reflect a milder airmass. Updated MetService guidance and the next model runs will be the key near-term catalysts as the day’s lowest reading is finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,110结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Wellington's September 4 minimum temperature centers on the narrow 10–13 °C range, where implied probabilities cluster tightly because official forecasts and ensemble models converge on an overnight low near 10–11 °C amid springtime variability.**
Northwesterly winds and partial cloud cover are limiting radiative cooling, while dew points near 8–10 °C and moderate mixing prevent deeper drops; any increase in clear-sky periods or lighter winds could allow temperatures to reach 10 °C or below, whereas lingering cloud or a wind shift would hold readings closer to 12–13 °C. Historical September minima average around 8–9 °C, but current conditions reflect a milder airmass. Updated MetService guidance and the next model runs will be the key near-term catalysts as the day’s lowest reading is finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,110结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Wellington's September 4 minimum temperature centers on the narrow 10–13 °C range, where implied probabilities cluster tightly because official forecasts and ensemble models converge on an overnight low near 10–11 °C amid springtime variability.** Northwesterly winds and partial cloud cover are limiting radiative cooling, while dew points near 8–10 °C and moderate mixing prevent deeper drops; any increase in clear-sky periods or lighter winds could allow temperatures to reach 10 °C or below, whereas lingering cloud or a wind shift would hold readings closer to 12–13 °C. Historical September minima average around 8–9 °C, but current conditions reflect a milder airmass. Updated MetService guidance and the next model runs will be the key near-term catalysts as the day’s lowest reading is finalized.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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