Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by the Met Office and European centers, indicate a high-pressure dominated pattern over the Netherlands with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting a maximum temperature near 22°C in Amsterdam on September 6. This aligns with the market's leading 51.5% implied probability for 22°C and secondary support for 21–23°C outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with afternoon readings expected to peak in the low 20s Celsius under stable conditions atypical for stronger late-summer warmth. Historical September 6 averages near 20.2°C provide context, though current observations from early September 2026 already reflect slightly above-normal values. Updated model runs ahead of the date remain the key variable that could shift these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
9月6日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
22°C 52%
23°C 26%
21°C 17%
24°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
16°C或以下
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
7%
21°C
17%
22°C
52%
23°C
24%
24°C
10%
25°C
6%
26°C或更高
6%
22°C 52%
23°C 26%
21°C 17%
24°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
16°C或以下
$0 交易量
3%
17°C
$0 交易量
3%
18°C
$13 交易量
1%
19°C
$0 交易量
4%
20°C
$0 交易量
7%
21°C
$5 交易量
17%
22°C
$46 交易量
52%
23°C
$20 交易量
24%
24°C
$11 交易量
10%
25°C
$0 交易量
6%
26°C或更高
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by the Met Office and European centers, indicate a high-pressure dominated pattern over the Netherlands with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting a maximum temperature near 22°C in Amsterdam on September 6. This aligns with the market's leading 51.5% implied probability for 22°C and secondary support for 21–23°C outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with afternoon readings expected to peak in the low 20s Celsius under stable conditions atypical for stronger late-summer warmth. Historical September 6 averages near 20.2°C provide context, though current observations from early September 2026 already reflect slightly above-normal values. Updated model runs ahead of the date remain the key variable that could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$95结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by the Met Office and European centers, indicate a high-pressure dominated pattern over the Netherlands with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting a maximum temperature near 22°C in Amsterdam on September 6. This aligns with the market's leading 51.5% implied probability for 22°C and secondary support for 21–23°C outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with afternoon readings expected to peak in the low 20s Celsius under stable conditions atypical for stronger late-summer warmth. Historical September 6 averages near 20.2°C provide context, though current observations from early September 2026 already reflect slightly above-normal values. Updated model runs ahead of the date remain the key variable that could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$95结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by the Met Office and European centers, indicate a high-pressure dominated pattern over the Netherlands with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting a maximum temperature near 22°C in Amsterdam on September 6. This aligns with the market's leading 51.5% implied probability for 22°C and secondary support for 21–23°C outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with afternoon readings expected to peak in the low 20s Celsius under stable conditions atypical for stronger late-summer warmth. Historical September 6 averages near 20.2°C provide context, though current observations from early September 2026 already reflect slightly above-normal values. Updated model runs ahead of the date remain the key variable that could shift these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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