Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, point to clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Wuhan on September 6, supporting daytime heating to a maximum near 32–33°C. Low precipitation chances and moderate humidity levels allow strong solar insolation to drive the peak, with surface observations from the prior days showing similar setups yielding highs in this range. Trader sentiment clusters on 33–34°C because ensemble spreads reflect minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud cover timing, while 35°C or higher remains a lower-probability outlier requiring stronger subsidence or delayed cooling. Updated model guidance and official China Meteorological Administration briefings in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日武汉气温最高？
9月6日武汉气温最高？
34°C 29%
33°C 22%
31°C 17%
32°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
28°C或以下
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
12%
31°C
17%
32°C
12%
33°C
22%
34°C
29%
35°C
12%
36°C
4%
37°C
3%
38°C或更高
4%
34°C 29%
33°C 22%
31°C 17%
32°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
28°C或以下
$67 交易量
1%
29°C
$0 交易量
1%
30°C
$0 交易量
12%
31°C
$0 交易量
17%
32°C
$0 交易量
12%
33°C
$0 交易量
22%
34°C
$0 交易量
29%
35°C
$34 交易量
12%
36°C
$3 交易量
4%
37°C
$0 交易量
3%
38°C或更高
$0 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, point to clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Wuhan on September 6, supporting daytime heating to a maximum near 32–33°C. Low precipitation chances and moderate humidity levels allow strong solar insolation to drive the peak, with surface observations from the prior days showing similar setups yielding highs in this range. Trader sentiment clusters on 33–34°C because ensemble spreads reflect minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud cover timing, while 35°C or higher remains a lower-probability outlier requiring stronger subsidence or delayed cooling. Updated model guidance and official China Meteorological Administration briefings in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$104结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, point to clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Wuhan on September 6, supporting daytime heating to a maximum near 32–33°C. Low precipitation chances and moderate humidity levels allow strong solar insolation to drive the peak, with surface observations from the prior days showing similar setups yielding highs in this range. Trader sentiment clusters on 33–34°C because ensemble spreads reflect minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud cover timing, while 35°C or higher remains a lower-probability outlier requiring stronger subsidence or delayed cooling. Updated model guidance and official China Meteorological Administration briefings in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$104结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, point to clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Wuhan on September 6, supporting daytime heating to a maximum near 32–33°C. Low precipitation chances and moderate humidity levels allow strong solar insolation to drive the peak, with surface observations from the prior days showing similar setups yielding highs in this range. Trader sentiment clusters on 33–34°C because ensemble spreads reflect minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud cover timing, while 35°C or higher remains a lower-probability outlier requiring stronger subsidence or delayed cooling. Updated model guidance and official China Meteorological Administration briefings in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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