Recent forecasts from agencies and models project a high of 28–30°C in Qingdao on September 6 under clear skies, moderate northeasterly winds of 3–4 levels, and low humidity, consistent with a stable high-pressure pattern typical for early September along the Shandong coast. Coastal marine influence and minimal cloud cover limit daytime heating, keeping maxima near or slightly above the seasonal baseline of 26–29°C. The spread in market-implied odds between 30°C and 31°C reflects uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized station readings at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport, while lower probabilities for 35°C or higher align with the absence of warm-air advection or subsidence strengthening. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings in the next 48 hours will clarify any minor shifts from these conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日青岛气温最高？
9月6日青岛气温最高？
35℃或更高 34%
31°C 33%
30°C 26%
33°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
25°C及以下
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
18%
30°C
26%
31°C
30%
32°C
16%
33°C
19%
34°C
17%
35℃或更高
34%
35℃或更高 34%
31°C 33%
30°C 26%
33°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
25°C及以下
$0 交易量
3%
26°C
$0 交易量
2%
27°C
$11 交易量
3%
28°C
$20 交易量
4%
29°C
$0 交易量
18%
30°C
$0 交易量
26%
31°C
$15 交易量
30%
32°C
$0 交易量
16%
33°C
$0 交易量
19%
34°C
$0 交易量
17%
35℃或更高
$0 交易量
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies and models project a high of 28–30°C in Qingdao on September 6 under clear skies, moderate northeasterly winds of 3–4 levels, and low humidity, consistent with a stable high-pressure pattern typical for early September along the Shandong coast. Coastal marine influence and minimal cloud cover limit daytime heating, keeping maxima near or slightly above the seasonal baseline of 26–29°C. The spread in market-implied odds between 30°C and 31°C reflects uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized station readings at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport, while lower probabilities for 35°C or higher align with the absence of warm-air advection or subsidence strengthening. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings in the next 48 hours will clarify any minor shifts from these conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$46结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies and models project a high of 28–30°C in Qingdao on September 6 under clear skies, moderate northeasterly winds of 3–4 levels, and low humidity, consistent with a stable high-pressure pattern typical for early September along the Shandong coast. Coastal marine influence and minimal cloud cover limit daytime heating, keeping maxima near or slightly above the seasonal baseline of 26–29°C. The spread in market-implied odds between 30°C and 31°C reflects uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized station readings at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport, while lower probabilities for 35°C or higher align with the absence of warm-air advection or subsidence strengthening. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings in the next 48 hours will clarify any minor shifts from these conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$46结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from agencies and models project a high of 28–30°C in Qingdao on September 6 under clear skies, moderate northeasterly winds of 3–4 levels, and low humidity, consistent with a stable high-pressure pattern typical for early September along the Shandong coast. Coastal marine influence and minimal cloud cover limit daytime heating, keeping maxima near or slightly above the seasonal baseline of 26–29°C. The spread in market-implied odds between 30°C and 31°C reflects uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized station readings at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport, while lower probabilities for 35°C or higher align with the absence of warm-air advection or subsidence strengthening. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings in the next 48 hours will clarify any minor shifts from these conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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