Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models converge on a 19°C daily maximum in Warsaw on September 6, supported by a strengthening high-pressure ridge and west-to-northwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air under mostly cloudy skies with only light showers possible. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 44% implied probability for 19°C, followed closely by 18°C and 20°C outcomes that reflect residual model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. September climatology shows average highs near 18°C, so current guidance sits slightly above baseline. Updated runs from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology and ECMWF expected in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日华沙最高气温？
9月6日华沙最高气温？
19°C 44%
18°C 26%
20°C 25%
17°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
14°C或以下
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
6%
17°C
20%
18°C
26%
19°C
44%
20°C
25%
21°C
10%
22°C
6%
23°C
2%
24°C或更高
2%
19°C 44%
18°C 26%
20°C 25%
17°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
15°C
$0 交易量
4%
16°C
$0 交易量
6%
17°C
$0 交易量
20%
18°C
$179 交易量
26%
19°C
$15 交易量
44%
20°C
$124 交易量
25%
21°C
$0 交易量
10%
22°C
$0 交易量
6%
23°C
$0 交易量
2%
24°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models converge on a 19°C daily maximum in Warsaw on September 6, supported by a strengthening high-pressure ridge and west-to-northwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air under mostly cloudy skies with only light showers possible. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 44% implied probability for 19°C, followed closely by 18°C and 20°C outcomes that reflect residual model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. September climatology shows average highs near 18°C, so current guidance sits slightly above baseline. Updated runs from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology and ECMWF expected in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$318结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models converge on a 19°C daily maximum in Warsaw on September 6, supported by a strengthening high-pressure ridge and west-to-northwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air under mostly cloudy skies with only light showers possible. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 44% implied probability for 19°C, followed closely by 18°C and 20°C outcomes that reflect residual model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. September climatology shows average highs near 18°C, so current guidance sits slightly above baseline. Updated runs from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology and ECMWF expected in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$318结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models converge on a 19°C daily maximum in Warsaw on September 6, supported by a strengthening high-pressure ridge and west-to-northwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air under mostly cloudy skies with only light showers possible. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 44% implied probability for 19°C, followed closely by 18°C and 20°C outcomes that reflect residual model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. September climatology shows average highs near 18°C, so current guidance sits slightly above baseline. Updated runs from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology and ECMWF expected in the next 24–48 hours will further narrow uncertainty ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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