Recent forecasts from European models indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 6 centering on 11–13 °C, driven by a building high-pressure ridge promoting radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and moderate westerly flow. These closely matched market probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and dew-point depression, all of which can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Westerly winds around 10–15 km/h limit extreme cooling while light showers or increased low-level moisture could suppress the low end. The projected range sits near the long-term early-September average of roughly 10–12 °C at Warsaw Chopin, with official station readings determining resolution. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs tonight will likely tighten the spread before the overnight period begins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日华沙最低气温？
9月6日华沙最低气温？
8°C或更低 47%
18°C或更高 40%
12°C 39%
13°C 34%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
8°C或更低
47%
9°C
7%
10°C
13%
11°C
30%
12°C
39%
13°C
32%
14°C
15%
15°C
15%
16°C
6%
17°C
3%
18°C或更高
40%
8°C或更低 47%
18°C或更高 40%
12°C 39%
13°C 34%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
8°C或更低
$3 交易量
47%
9°C
$0 交易量
7%
10°C
$2 交易量
13%
11°C
$0 交易量
30%
12°C
$0 交易量
39%
13°C
$3 交易量
32%
14°C
$0 交易量
15%
15°C
$0 交易量
15%
16°C
$0 交易量
6%
17°C
$0 交易量
3%
18°C或更高
$0 交易量
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 6 centering on 11–13 °C, driven by a building high-pressure ridge promoting radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and moderate westerly flow. These closely matched market probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and dew-point depression, all of which can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Westerly winds around 10–15 km/h limit extreme cooling while light showers or increased low-level moisture could suppress the low end. The projected range sits near the long-term early-September average of roughly 10–12 °C at Warsaw Chopin, with official station readings determining resolution. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs tonight will likely tighten the spread before the overnight period begins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$8结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 6 centering on 11–13 °C, driven by a building high-pressure ridge promoting radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and moderate westerly flow. These closely matched market probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and dew-point depression, all of which can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Westerly winds around 10–15 km/h limit extreme cooling while light showers or increased low-level moisture could suppress the low end. The projected range sits near the long-term early-September average of roughly 10–12 °C at Warsaw Chopin, with official station readings determining resolution. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs tonight will likely tighten the spread before the overnight period begins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from European models indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 6 centering on 11–13 °C, driven by a building high-pressure ridge promoting radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and moderate westerly flow. These closely matched market probabilities reflect genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, exact cloud timing, and dew-point depression, all of which can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Westerly winds around 10–15 km/h limit extreme cooling while light showers or increased low-level moisture could suppress the low end. The projected range sits near the long-term early-September average of roughly 10–12 °C at Warsaw Chopin, with official station readings determining resolution. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs tonight will likely tighten the spread before the overnight period begins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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