Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers are the main factors anchoring trader expectations for Lucknow’s September 5 maximum near 30–31 °C. Official India Meteorological Department guidance projects a 32 °C high under generally cloudy skies with one or two spells of rain, while recent observations show temperatures running 2–3 °C below normal amid easterly flow and high humidity near 85–90 %. These conditions limit surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation. Model spreads arise mainly from the timing and intensity of convective cells, which can either cap the peak or allow brief breaks that push readings toward 32 °C. Updated short-range forecasts and afternoon radar trends will likely tighten the narrow gap between the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日勒克瑙的最高温度?
30°C 42%
31°C 33%
29°C 25%
32°C 18%
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
25%
30°C
42%
31°C
33%
32°C
18%
33°C
6%
34°C或更高
7%
30°C 42%
31°C 33%
29°C 25%
32°C 18%
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
25%
30°C
42%
31°C
33%
32°C
18%
33°C
6%
34°C或更高
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thundershowers are the main factors anchoring trader expectations for Lucknow’s September 5 maximum near 30–31 °C. Official India Meteorological Department guidance projects a 32 °C high under generally cloudy skies with one or two spells of rain, while recent observations show temperatures running 2–3 °C below normal amid easterly flow and high humidity near 85–90 %. These conditions limit surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation. Model spreads arise mainly from the timing and intensity of convective cells, which can either cap the peak or allow brief breaks that push readings toward 32 °C. Updated short-range forecasts and afternoon radar trends will likely tighten the narrow gap between the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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