Current forecasts from MetService and international models point to a maximum of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 5, driven by northwesterly winds advecting milder maritime air ahead of a weak front, with partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating. Historical early-September averages near 13–14°C provide context, yet recent observations of gusty NW flows and variable cloud have kept trader focus on whether clearing conditions or a brief warm spell could push readings to 16°C. Short-term model consensus remains tight around these thresholds, with resolution hinging on precise wind shifts and insolation before any southerly change arrives.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日惠灵顿的最高温度?
15°C 45%
16°C 39%
17°C 13%
14°C 6%
10°C或以下
2%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
6%
15°C
45%
16°C
39%
17°C
13%
18°C
5%
19°C
3%
20°C或以上
2%
15°C 45%
16°C 39%
17°C 13%
14°C 6%
10°C或以下
2%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
6%
15°C
45%
16°C
39%
17°C
13%
18°C
5%
19°C
3%
20°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from MetService and international models point to a maximum of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 5, driven by northwesterly winds advecting milder maritime air ahead of a weak front, with partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating. Historical early-September averages near 13–14°C provide context, yet recent observations of gusty NW flows and variable cloud have kept trader focus on whether clearing conditions or a brief warm spell could push readings to 16°C. Short-term model consensus remains tight around these thresholds, with resolution hinging on precise wind shifts and insolation before any southerly change arrives.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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